IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ags/afjare/339727.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The effect of climate change and agricultural diversification on the total value of agricultural output of farm households in Sub-Saharan Africa

Author

Listed:
  • Jithitikulchai, Theepakorn

Abstract

This study investigates the effect of temperature and precipitation on the economic value of agricultural output from farm households in six Sub-Saharan African countries: Ethiopia, Malawi, Niger, Nigeria, Tanzania and Uganda. Using a repeated cross-sectional dataset covering the period from 2008 to 2016, the study explores how the adverse effects of climate change vary among different levels of agricultural diversification. The findings reveal that a one-degree increase in temperature has a negative effect on the value of agricultural output. Nevertheless, households engaged in diversified production activities exhibit better adaptation to higher temperatures, leading to attenuated effects of climate change. Therefore, this study highlights the critical importance of diversification as a strategy to enhance the resilience of farm households in Sub-Saharan Africa.

Suggested Citation

  • Jithitikulchai, Theepakorn, 2023. "The effect of climate change and agricultural diversification on the total value of agricultural output of farm households in Sub-Saharan Africa," African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, African Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 18(2), October.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:afjare:339727
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.339727
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/339727/files/Jithitikulchai.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.339727?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Witsanu Attavanich & Bruce McCarl, 2014. "How is CO 2 affecting yields and technological progress? A statistical analysis," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 124(4), pages 747-762, June.
    2. Sheahan, Megan & Barrett, Christopher B., 2017. "Ten striking facts about agricultural input use in Sub-Saharan Africa," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 12-25.
    3. Chonabayashi, Shun & Jithitikulchai, Theepakorn & Qu, Yeqing, 2020. "Does agricultural diversification build economic resilience to drought and flood? Evidence from poor households in Zambia," African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, African Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 15(1), March.
    4. Stephane Hallegatte & Julie Rozenberg, 2017. "Climate change through a poverty lens," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 7(4), pages 250-256, April.
    5. Mendelsohn, Robert & Nordhaus, William D & Shaw, Daigee, 1994. "The Impact of Global Warming on Agriculture: A Ricardian Analysis," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 84(4), pages 753-771, September.
    6. Juan Sesmero & Jacob Ricker-Gilbert & Aaron Cook, 2018. "How Do African Farm Households Respond to Changes in Current and Past Weather Patterns? A Structural Panel Data Analysis from Malawi," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 100(1), pages 115-144.
    7. Robert Mendelsohn & Kerry Emanuel & Shun Chonabayashi & Laura Bakkensen, 2012. "The impact of climate change on global tropical cyclone damage," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 2(3), pages 205-209, March.
    8. Kar, Gouranga & Singh, Ravender & Verma, H. N., 2004. "Alternative cropping strategies for assured and efficient crop production in upland rainfed rice areas of eastern India based on rainfall analysis," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 67(1), pages 47-62, June.
    9. Emmanuel Skoufias, 2012. "The Poverty and Welfare Impacts of Climate Change Quantifying the Effects, Identifying the Adaptation Strategies," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 9384, December.
    10. Molly E. Brown & Chris Funk & Diego Pedreros & Diriba Korecha & Melesse Lemma & James Rowland & Emily Williams & James Verdin, 2017. "A climate trend analysis of Ethiopia: examining subseasonal climate impacts on crops and pasture conditions," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 142(1), pages 169-182, May.
    11. Charles Nhemachena & Rashid Hassan & Pradeep Kurukulasuriya, 2010. "Measuring The Economic Impact Of Climate Change On African Agricultural Production Systems," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 1(01), pages 33-55.
    12. Gosoniu, L. & Vounatsou, P. & Sogoba, N. & Maire, N. & Smith, T., 2009. "Mapping malaria risk in West Africa using a Bayesian nonparametric non-stationary model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(9), pages 3358-3371, July.
    13. Benjapon Prommawin & Nattanun Svavasu & Spol Tanpraphan & Voravee Saengavut & Theepakorn Jithitikulchai & Witsanu Attavanich & Bruce A. McCarl, 2022. "Impacts of Climate Change and Agricultural Diversification on Agricultural Production Value of Thai Farm Households," PIER Discussion Papers 184, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
    14. Fleischer, Aliza & Lichtman, Ivgenia & Mendelsohn, Robert, 2008. "Climate change, irrigation, and Israeli agriculture: Will warming be harmful?," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(3), pages 508-515, April.
    15. Sileshi, Gudeta W. & Akinnifesi, Festus K. & Ajayi, Oluyede C. & Muys, Bart, 2011. "Integration of legume trees in maize-based cropping systems improves rain use efficiency and yield stability under rain-fed agriculture," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 98(9), pages 1364-1372, July.
    16. Alexander Garcia-Aristizabal & Edoardo Bucchignani & Elisa Palazzi & Donatella D’Onofrio & Paolo Gasparini & Warner Marzocchi, 2015. "Analysis of non-stationary climate-related extreme events considering climate change scenarios: an application for multi-hazard assessment in the Dar es Salaam region, Tanzania," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 75(1), pages 289-320, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Benjapon Prommawin & Nattanun Svavasu & Spol Tanpraphan & Voravee Saengavut & Theepakorn Jithitikulchai & Witsanu Attavanich & Bruce A. McCarl, 2022. "Impacts of Climate Change and Agricultural Diversification on Agricultural Production Value of Thai Farm Households," PIER Discussion Papers 184, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
    2. Kan, Iddo & Reznik, Ami & Kaminski, Jonathan & Kimhi, Ayal, 2023. "The impacts of climate change on cropland allocation, crop production, output prices and social welfare in Israel: A structural econometric framework," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    3. De Salvo, Maria & Raffaelli, Roberta & Moser, Riccarda, 2013. "The impact of climate change on permanent crops in an Alpine region: A Ricardian analysis," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 23-32.
    4. Attavanich, Witsanu, 2017. "Effect of climate change on Thailand’s agriculture: New results," MPRA Paper 118290, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Laura A. Bakkensen & Robert O. Mendelsohn, 2016. "Risk and Adaptation: Evidence from Global Hurricane Damages and Fatalities," Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, University of Chicago Press, vol. 3(3), pages 555-587.
    6. Alemu Mekonnen, 2014. "Economic Costs of Climate Change and Climate Finance with a Focus on Africa," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 23(suppl_2), pages 50-82.
    7. Saibal Kar & Nimai Das, 2015. "Climate Change, Agricultural Production, and Poverty in India," Economic Studies in Inequality, Social Exclusion, and Well-Being, in: Almas Heshmati & Esfandiar Maasoumi & Guanghua Wan (ed.), Poverty Reduction Policies and Practices in Developing Asia, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 55-76, Springer.
    8. Marshall Burke & Vincent Tanutama, 2019. "Climatic Constraints on Aggregate Economic Output," NBER Working Papers 25779, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Bruce A McCarl & Thomas W Hertel, 2018. "Climate Change as an Agricultural Economics Research Topic," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 40(1), pages 60-78.
    10. Zhou, Li & Turvey, Calum G., 2014. "Climate change, adaptation and China's grain production," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 72-89.
    11. Yuquan W. Zhang & Bruce A. McCarl & Yibo Luan & Ulrich Kleinwechter, 2018. "Climate change effects on pesticide usage reduction efforts: a case study in China," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 23(5), pages 685-701, June.
    12. Moretti, Michele & Vanschoenwinkel, Janka & Van Passel, Steven, 2021. "Accounting for externalities in cross-sectional economic models of climate change impacts," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    13. Raju Mandal & Hiranya Nath, 2017. "Climate Change and indian Agriculture: Impacts on Crop Yield," Working Papers 1705, Sam Houston State University, Department of Economics and International Business.
    14. McCarl, Bruce A. & Attavanich, Witsanu & Musumba, Mark & Mu, Jianhong E. & Aisabokhae, Ruth, 2011. "Land Use and Climate Change," MPRA Paper 83993, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2014.
    15. Prince Etwire & David Fielding & Victoria Kahui, 2017. "The impact of climate change on crop production in Ghana: A Structural Ricardian analysis," Working Papers 1706, University of Otago, Department of Economics, revised Apr 2017.
    16. Chonabayashi, Shun & Jithitikulchai, Theepakorn & Qu, Yeqing, 2020. "Does agricultural diversification build economic resilience to drought and flood? Evidence from poor households in Zambia," African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, African Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 15(1), March.
    17. Hansen, Zeynep K. & Lowe, Scott E. & Xu, Wenchao, 2014. "Long-term impacts of major water storage facilities on agriculture and the natural environment: Evidence from Idaho (U.S.)," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 106-118.
    18. Basurto, Saul, 2016. "A Mexican Ricardian analysis: land rental prices or net revenues?," 90th Annual Conference, April 4-6, 2016, Warwick University, Coventry, UK 236362, Agricultural Economics Society.
    19. Jardine, Sunny L. & Fisher, Mary C. & Moore, Stephanie K. & Samhouri, Jameal F., 2020. "Inequality in the Economic Impacts from Climate Shocks in Fisheries: The Case of Harmful Algal Blooms," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
    20. Schmidtner, Eva & Dabbert, Stephan & Lippert, Christian, 2015. "Do Different Measurements of Soil Quality Influence the Results of a Ricardian Analysis? – A Case Study on the Effects of Climate Change on German Agriculture," German Journal of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Department for Agricultural Economics, vol. 64(02), June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agribusiness; Consumer/Household Economics; Environmental Economics and Policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q1 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture
    • Q12 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Micro Analysis of Farm Firms, Farm Households, and Farm Input Markets
    • Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy; Animal Welfare Policy
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:afjare:339727. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/aaaeaea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.