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The Global Equilibrium Real Interest Rate: Concepts, Estimates, and Challenges

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Kristin Forbes & Jongrim Ha & M. Ayhan Kose, 2026. "Trade-Offs over Rate Cycles: Activity, Inflation, and the Price Level," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 40(1), pages 191-277.
  2. Adriatik Kotorri & Blisard Zani, 2025. "Assessing the Dynamics of Nominal and Real Interest Rates in Long-Run: A Comprehensive Analysis of Albanian Interest Rates," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 7, pages 116-131.
  3. Matteo Cacciatore & Bruno Feunou & Galip Kemal Ozhan, 2024. "The Neutral Interest Rate: Past, Present and Future," Discussion Papers 2024-03, Bank of Canada.
  4. Carl-Johan Dalgaard & Morten Olsen, 2025. "Has the real rate of return “depreciated”?," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 30(1), pages 49-85, March.
  5. Yudai Hatayama & Yuto Iwasaki, 2024. "Estimating the Natural Yield Curve in Japan Using a VAR with Common Trends," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 24-E-17, Bank of Japan.
  6. Shiting Ding & Qintian Pan & Yanming Zhang & Jingru Zhang & Qiong Yang & Jingdong Luan, 2023. "Study on the China’s real interest rate after including housing price factor into CPI," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 18(8), pages 1-11, August.
  7. Bielecki, Marcin & Brzoza-Brzezina, Michał & Błażejowska, Aneta & Kuziemska-Pawlak, Kamila & Szafrański, Grzegorz, . "Szacunki i projekcje naturalnej stopy procentowej dla Polski i strefy euro," Gospodarka Narodowa-The Polish Journal of Economics, Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie / SGH Warsaw School of Economics, vol. 2024(3).
  8. Guizhou Wang & Kjell Hausken, 2022. "A Generalized Interest Rates Model with Scaling," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 12(5), pages 143-150, September.
  9. Michael T. Kiley, 2025. "Monetary Policy Strategy and the Anchoring of Long-Run Inflation Expectations," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2025-027, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  10. Fernandez-Gallardo, Alvaro, 2023. "Preventing financial disasters: Macroprudential policy and financial crises," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
  11. Forbes, Kristin & Ha, Jongrim & Kose, M. Ayhan, 2024. "Rate Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 19272, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
  12. Martin Kuncl & Dmitry Matveev, 2025. "Neutral rate of interest in a small open economy: The case of Canada," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 58(3), pages 990-1016, August.
  13. Omar Kaykhusraw, 2025. "Longer‐run equilibrium interest rates: evidence from the United Kingdom," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 92(366), pages 457-482, April.
  14. Brand, Claus & Goy, Gavin W & Lemke, Wolfgang, 2020. "Natural rate chimera and bond pricing reality," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224546, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  15. Thiago Revil T. Ferreira & Samer Shousha, 2021. "Supply of Sovereign Safe Assets and Global Interest Rates," International Finance Discussion Papers 1315, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  16. Michael T. Kiley, 2024. "Why Have Long-term Treasury Yields Fallen Since the 1980s? Expected Short Rates and Term Premiums in (Quasi-) Real Time," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-054, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  17. Ferreira, Thiago R.T. & Shousha, Samer, 2023. "Determinants of global neutral interest rates," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
  18. Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & Richard Harrison & Rana Sajedi, 2022. "Decomposing the drivers of Global R," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 990, Bank of England.
  19. Michael T. Kiley, 2024. "Monetary Policy Strategies to Foster Price Stability and a Strong Labor Market," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2024-033, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  20. Goto, Eiji, 2023. "International comovement of r∗: A case study of the G7 countries," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  21. Michael T. Kiley, 2020. "Financial Conditions and Economic Activity: Insights from Machine Learning," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-095, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  22. Michael Kiley & Frederic S. Mishkin, 2024. "Central Banking Post Crises," NBER Working Papers 32237, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  23. Nickel, Christiane & Kilponen, Juha & Moral-Benito, Enrique & Koester, Gerrit & Ciccarelli, Matteo & Enders, Almira & Holton, Sarah & Landau, Bettina & Venditti, Fabrizio & Bobeica, Elena & Brand, Cla, 2025. "A strategic view on the economic and inflation environment in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 371, European Central Bank.
  24. Lansing, Kevin J., 2021. "Endogenous forecast switching near the zero lower bound," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 153-169.
  25. Marcin Bielecki & Michał Brzoza-Brzezina & Aneta Błażejowska & Kamila Kuziemska-Pawlak & Grzegorz Szafrański, 2024. "Estimates and Projections of the Natural Rate of Interest for Poland and the Euro Area," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 3, pages 1-32.
  26. Maurice Obstfeld, 2025. "Natural and Neutral Real Interest Rates: Past and Future," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 73(2), pages 339-392, June.
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