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Short-term probabilistic forecasts for Direct Normal Irradiance

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  1. Peña-Cruz, Manuel I. & Díaz-Ponce, Arturo & Sánchez-Segura, César D. & Valentín-Coronado, Luis & Moctezuma, Daniela, 2024. "Short-term forecast of solar irradiance components using an alternative mathematical approach for the identification of cloud features," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(PC).
  2. Lopes, Francis M. & Conceição, Ricardo & Fasquelle, Thomas & Silva, Hugo G. & Salgado, Rui & Canhoto, Paulo & Collares-Pereira, Manuel, 2020. "Predicted direct solar radiation (ECMWF) for optimized operational strategies of linear focus parabolic-trough systems," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 378-391.
  3. van der Meer, D.W. & Shepero, M. & Svensson, A. & Widén, J. & Munkhammar, J., 2018. "Probabilistic forecasting of electricity consumption, photovoltaic power generation and net demand of an individual building using Gaussian Processes," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 213(C), pages 195-207.
  4. Nie, Yuhao & Li, Xiatong & Paletta, Quentin & Aragon, Max & Scott, Andea & Brandt, Adam, 2024. "Open-source sky image datasets for solar forecasting with deep learning: A comprehensive survey," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 189(PB).
  5. Alonso-Suárez, R. & David, M. & Branco, V. & Lauret, P., 2020. "Intra-day solar probabilistic forecasts including local short-term variability and satellite information," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 554-573.
  6. Gutiérrez-Trashorras, Antonio J. & Villicaña-Ortiz, Eunice & Álvarez-Álvarez, Eduardo & González-Caballín, Juan M. & Xiberta-Bernat, Jorge & Suarez-López, María J., 2018. "Attenuation processes of solar radiation. Application to the quantification of direct and diffuse solar irradiances on horizontal surfaces in Mexico by means of an overall atmospheric transmittance," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P1), pages 93-106.
  7. Yuan An & Kaikai Dang & Xiaoyu Shi & Rong Jia & Kai Zhang & Qiang Huang, 2021. "A Probabilistic Ensemble Prediction Method for PV Power in the Nonstationary Period," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-18, February.
  8. Ma, Yifeng & Yu, Wenzheng & Zhu, Junyu & You, Zhiyuan & Jia, Aiqing, 2025. "Research on ultra-short-term photovoltaic power forecasting using multimodal data and ensemble learning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 330(C).
  9. Tian Han & Ying Wang & Xiao Wang & Kang Chen & Huaiwu Peng & Zhenxin Gao & Lanxin Cui & Wentong Sun & Qinke Peng, 2023. "Mixed Multi-Pattern Regression for DNI Prediction in Arid Desert Areas," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-16, August.
  10. Philippe Lauret & Mathieu David & Hugo T. C. Pedro, 2017. "Probabilistic Solar Forecasting Using Quantile Regression Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-17, October.
  11. Tang, Yugui & Yang, Kuo & Zhang, Shujing & Zhang, Zhen, 2022. "Photovoltaic power forecasting: A hybrid deep learning model incorporating transfer learning strategy," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
  12. Lijie Wang & Xin Li & Ying Hao & Qingshan Zhang, 2025. "Ultra-Short-Term Solar Irradiance Prediction Using an Integrated Framework with Novel Textural Convolution Kernel for Feature Extraction of Clouds," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(6), pages 1-23, March.
  13. Simone Sala & Alfonso Amendola & Sonia Leva & Marco Mussetta & Alessandro Niccolai & Emanuele Ogliari, 2019. "Comparison of Data-Driven Techniques for Nowcasting Applied to an Industrial-Scale Photovoltaic Plant," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(23), pages 1-19, November.
  14. David, Mathieu & Luis, Mazorra Aguiar & Lauret, Philippe, 2018. "Comparison of intraday probabilistic forecasting of solar irradiance using only endogenous data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 529-547.
  15. Xwégnon Ghislain Agoua & Robin Girard & Georges Kariniotakis, 2021. "Photovoltaic Power Forecasting: Assessment of the Impact of Multiple Sources of Spatio-Temporal Data on Forecast Accuracy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-15, March.
  16. John Boland & Adrian Grantham, 2018. "Nonparametric Conditional Heteroscedastic Hourly Probabilistic Forecasting of Solar Radiation," J, MDPI, vol. 1(1), pages 1-18, December.
  17. Chu, Yinghao & Wang, Yiling & Yang, Dazhi & Chen, Shanlin & Li, Mengying, 2024. "A review of distributed solar forecasting with remote sensing and deep learning," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
  18. Pedro, Hugo T.C. & Coimbra, Carlos F.M. & David, Mathieu & Lauret, Philippe, 2018. "Assessment of machine learning techniques for deterministic and probabilistic intra-hour solar forecasts," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 191-203.
  19. Barancsuk, Lilla & Groma, Veronika & Kocziha, Barnabás, 2025. "Hybrid ultra-short term solar irradiation forecasting using resource-efficient multi-step long-short term memory," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
  20. Luis Mazorra-Aguiar & Philippe Lauret & Mathieu David & Albert Oliver & Gustavo Montero, 2021. "Comparison of Two Solar Probabilistic Forecasting Methodologies for Microgrids Energy Efficiency," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-26, March.
  21. Lilla Barancsuk & Veronika Groma & Dalma Günter & János Osán & Bálint Hartmann, 2024. "Estimation of Solar Irradiance Using a Neural Network Based on the Combination of Sky Camera Images and Meteorological Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(2), pages 1-25, January.
  22. Chu, Yinghao & Yang, Dazhi & Yu, Hanxin & Zhao, Xin & Li, Mengying, 2024. "Can end-to-end data-driven models outperform traditional semi-physical models in separating 1-min irradiance?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 356(C).
  23. Fatemi, Seyyed A. & Kuh, Anthony & Fripp, Matthias, 2018. "Parametric methods for probabilistic forecasting of solar irradiance," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 129(PA), pages 666-676.
  24. Anagnostos, D. & Schmidt, T. & Cavadias, S. & Soudris, D. & Poortmans, J. & Catthoor, F., 2019. "A method for detailed, short-term energy yield forecasting of photovoltaic installations," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 122-129.
  25. Mohammed Asloune & Gilles Notton & Cyril Voyant, 2025. "From Trends to Insights: A Text Mining Analysis of Solar Energy Forecasting (2017–2023)," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(19), pages 1-30, October.
  26. van der Meer, D.W. & Widén, J. & Munkhammar, J., 2018. "Review on probabilistic forecasting of photovoltaic power production and electricity consumption," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P1), pages 1484-1512.
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