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Improving short term load forecast accuracy via combining sister forecasts

Citations

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  1. Umut Ugurlu & Oktay Tas & Aycan Kaya & Ilkay Oksuz, 2018. "The Financial Effect of the Electricity Price Forecasts’ Inaccuracy on a Hydro-Based Generation Company," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-19, August.
  2. Nsangou, Jean Calvin & Kenfack, Joseph & Nzotcha, Urbain & Ngohe Ekam, Paul Salomon & Voufo, Joseph & Tamo, Thomas T., 2022. "Explaining household electricity consumption using quantile regression, decision tree and artificial neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 250(C).
  3. Agata Lozinskaia & Anastasiia Redkina & Evgeniia Shenkman, 2020. "Electricity consumption forecasting for integrated power system with seasonal patterns," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 60, pages 5-25.
  4. Tamara Schröter & André Richter & Jens Götze & André Naumann & Jenny Gronau & Martin Wolter, 2020. "Substation Related Forecasts of Electrical Energy Storage Systems: Transmission System Operator Requirements," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-26, November.
  5. He, Yaoyao & Cao, Chaojin & Wang, Shuo & Fu, Hong, 2022. "Nonparametric probabilistic load forecasting based on quantile combination in electrical power systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 322(C).
  6. Berrisch, Jonathan & Ziel, Florian, 2024. "Multivariate probabilistic CRPS learning with an application to day-ahead electricity prices," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 1568-1586.
  7. Berk, K. & Hoffmann, A. & Müller, A., 2018. "Probabilistic forecasting of industrial electricity load with regime switching behavior," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 147-162.
  8. Uniejewski, Bartosz & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Weron, Rafał, 2019. "On the importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting: Part II — Probabilistic forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 171-182.
  9. Jonathan Berrisch & Florian Ziel, 2023. "Multivariate Probabilistic CRPS Learning with an Application to Day-Ahead Electricity Prices," Papers 2303.10019, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
  10. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2017. "Importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting revisited: Neural network models," HSC Research Reports HSC/17/03, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
  11. Fu, Guoyin, 2018. "Deep belief network based ensemble approach for cooling load forecasting of air-conditioning system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 269-282.
  12. Jakub Nowotarski & Rafal Weron, 2016. "To combine or not to combine? Recent trends in electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/16/01, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
  13. Vogler–Finck, P.J.C. & Bacher, P. & Madsen, H., 2017. "Online short-term forecast of greenhouse heat load using a weather forecast service," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C), pages 1298-1310.
  14. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Tomasz Serafin & Rafał Weron, 2018. "Selection of Calibration Windows for Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-20, September.
  15. Christopher Kath & Florian Ziel, 2018. "The value of forecasts: Quantifying the economic gains of accurate quarter-hourly electricity price forecasts," Papers 1811.08604, arXiv.org.
  16. Wang, Jue & Wang, Zhen & Li, Xiang & Zhou, Hao, 2022. "Artificial bee colony-based combination approach to forecasting agricultural commodity prices," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 21-34.
  17. Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2019. "On the importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting with NARX neural networks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1520-1532.
  18. Sergei Kulakov, 2020. "X-Model: Further Development and Possible Modifications," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 2(1), pages 1-16, February.
  19. Bessec, Marie & Fouquau, Julien, 2018. "Short-run electricity load forecasting with combinations of stationary wavelet transforms," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 264(1), pages 149-164.
  20. Xiao, Jin & Li, Yuxi & Xie, Ling & Liu, Dunhu & Huang, Jing, 2018. "A hybrid model based on selective ensemble for energy consumption forecasting in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 534-546.
  21. Kath, Christopher & Ziel, Florian, 2018. "The value of forecasts: Quantifying the economic gains of accurate quarter-hourly electricity price forecasts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 411-423.
  22. Dadkhah, Mojtaba & Jahangoshai Rezaee, Mustafa & Zare Chavoshi, Ahmad, 2018. "Short-term power output forecasting of hourly operation in power plant based on climate factors and effects of wind direction and wind speed," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 775-788.
  23. Giancarlo Aquila & Lucas Barros Scianni Morais & Victor Augusto Durães de Faria & José Wanderley Marangon Lima & Luana Medeiros Marangon Lima & Anderson Rodrigo de Queiroz, 2023. "An Overview of Short-Term Load Forecasting for Electricity Systems Operational Planning: Machine Learning Methods and the Brazilian Experience," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(21), pages 1-35, November.
  24. Katarzyna Hubicka & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2018. "A note on averaging day-ahead electricity price forecasts across calibration windows," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/03, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
  25. Federico Divina & Miguel García Torres & Francisco A. Goméz Vela & José Luis Vázquez Noguera, 2019. "A Comparative Study of Time Series Forecasting Methods for Short Term Electric Energy Consumption Prediction in Smart Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-23, May.
  26. He, Yaoyao & Xu, Qifa & Wan, Jinhong & Yang, Shanlin, 2016. "Short-term power load probability density forecasting based on quantile regression neural network and triangle kernel function," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 498-512.
  27. Fu, Xin & Zeng, Xiao-Jun & Feng, Pengpeng & Cai, Xiuwen, 2018. "Clustering-based short-term load forecasting for residential electricity under the increasing-block pricing tariffs in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(PB), pages 76-89.
  28. Agakishiev, Ilyas & Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Kopa, Milos & Kozmik, Karel & Petukhina, Alla, 2025. "Multivariate probabilistic forecasting of electricity prices with trading applications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
  29. Liu, Yang & Wang, Wei & Ghadimi, Noradin, 2017. "Electricity load forecasting by an improved forecast engine for building level consumers," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 18-30.
  30. Masoud Sobhani & Allison Campbell & Saurabh Sangamwar & Changlin Li & Tao Hong, 2019. "Combining Weather Stations for Electric Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-11, April.
  31. Rafał Czapaj & Jacek Kamiński & Maciej Sołtysik, 2022. "A Review of Auto-Regressive Methods Applications to Short-Term Demand Forecasting in Power Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-31, September.
  32. George P. Papaioannou & Christos Dikaiakos & Anargyros Dramountanis & Panagiotis G. Papaioannou, 2016. "Analysis and Modeling for Short- to Medium-Term Load Forecasting Using a Hybrid Manifold Learning Principal Component Model and Comparison with Classical Statistical Models (SARIMAX, Exponential Smoot," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-40, August.
  33. Gabriel Trierweiler Ribeiro & João Guilherme Sauer & Naylene Fraccanabbia & Viviana Cocco Mariani & Leandro dos Santos Coelho, 2020. "Bayesian Optimized Echo State Network Applied to Short-Term Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-19, May.
  34. Nowotarski, Jakub & Weron, Rafał, 2016. "On the importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 228-235.
  35. Zhineng Hu & Jing Ma & Liangwei Yang & Liming Yao & Meng Pang, 2019. "Monthly electricity demand forecasting using empirical mode decomposition-based state space model," Energy & Environment, , vol. 30(7), pages 1236-1254, November.
  36. Rendon-Sanchez, Juan F. & de Menezes, Lilian M., 2019. "Structural combination of seasonal exponential smoothing forecasts applied to load forecasting," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 275(3), pages 916-924.
  37. Macmillan, Madeline & Zolan, Alexander & Bazilian, Morgan & Villa, Daniel L., 2024. "Microgrid design and multi-year dispatch optimization under climate-informed load and renewable resource uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 368(C).
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