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Exploring credit data

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  • Müller, Marlene
  • Härdle, Wolfgang

Abstract

Credit scoring methods aim to assess the default risk of a potential borrower. This involves typically the calculation of a credit score and the estimation of the probability of default. One of the standard approaches is logistic discriminant analysis, also referred to as logit model. This model maps explanatory variables for the default risk to a credit score using a linear function. Nonlinearity can be included by using polynomial terms or piecewise linear functions. This may give however only a limited reflection of a truly nonlinear relationship. Moreover, an additional modeling step may be necessary to determine the optimal polynomial order or the optimal interval classification. This paper presents semiparametric extensions of the logit model which directly allow for nonlinear relationships to be part of the explanatory variables. The technique is based on the theory generalized partial linear models. We illustrate the advantages of this approach using a consumer retail banking data set.

Suggested Citation

  • Müller, Marlene & Härdle, Wolfgang, 2002. "Exploring credit data," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 2002,79, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:sfb373:200279
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. D. J. Hand & W. E. Henley, 1997. "Statistical Classification Methods in Consumer Credit Scoring: a Review," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 160(3), pages 523-541, September.
    2. Müller, Marlene, 2000. "Generalized partial linear models," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 2000,52, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.
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