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Theorie und Empirik politischer Konjunkturzyklen

  • Frey, Bruno S.

Empirische Beobachtungen zeigen, daß der Staat die wirtschaftliche Aktivität oft nicht stabilisiert, sondern im Gegenteil zusätzliche Schwankungen erzeugt. Politische Konjunkturzyklen entstehen insbesondere beim Versuch der Regierungen, zum Wahlzeitpunkt eine günstige Wirtschaftslage herbeizuführen, um wiedergewählt zu werden. Die bisherigen statistischen Untersuchungen für verschiedene Länder sind wegen, eines fehlenden sorgfältig spezifizierten Modells unzureichend. Verschiedene theoretische Ansätze bieten sich an. Umfassend lassen sich Wahlzyklen im Rahmen politischökonomischer Gesamtmodelle untersuchen. Damit durchgeführte ökonometrische Schätzungen für die Vereinigten Staaten und die Bundesrepublik Deutschland weisen auf die Bedeutung Politischer Konjunkturzyklen in den Nachkriegsjahren hin.

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Paper provided by University of Konstanz, Department of Economics in its series Discussion Papers, Series I with number 75.

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Date of creation: 1976
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Handle: RePEc:zbw:kondp1:75
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  1. Ben-Porath, Yoram, 1975. "The Years of Plenty and the Years of Famine-A Political Business Cycle?," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(2), pages 400-403.
  2. Bajt, Alexander, 1971. "Investment Cycles in European Socialist Economies: A Review Article," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 9(1), pages 53-63, March.
  3. Snyder, Wayne W, 1970. "Measuring Economic Stabilization: 1955-65," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 60(5), pages 924-33, December.
  4. Thor Hultgren, 1965. "Cost, Prices, and Profits: Their Cyclical Relations," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number hult65-1, December.
  5. Frey, Bruno S. & Schneider, Friedrich, 1976. "An empirical study of politico-economic interaction in the US," Discussion Papers, Series I 76, University of Konstanz, Department of Economics.
  6. Lindbeck, Assar, 1970. "Fiscal Policy as a Tool of Economic Stabilization- Comments to an OECD Report," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(1), pages 7-32.
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