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The Harder They Fall

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  • Nitzan, Jonathan
  • Bichler, Shimshon

Abstract

Until a few months ago, the stock market narrative in the United States could have been summarized by the popular acronym BTFD – or ‘buy the fucking dip’. Analysts and strategists, emboldened by the world’s synchronized recovery, Trump’s pro-business policies and ample liquidity, predicted that equities would continue rising and recommended that investors take advantage of any temporary weakness to augment their stock holdings in anticipation of further upside. But the atmosphere of boom has since given way to doom and gloom. With equity markets having entered ‘correction’ territory, many observers, including some of the world’s richest investors, now warn of a coming crash and a protracted ‘bear market’. On the face of it, this shifting sentiment has much to do with investors anticipating an earnings reversal. Corporate earnings growth has reached extreme levels from which a downturntrend in profits – and therefore in equity prices – seems imminent. But then, why should forward-looking stock prices be dependent on current earnings in the first place?

Suggested Citation

  • Nitzan, Jonathan & Bichler, Shimshon, 2019. "The Harder They Fall," EconStor Preprints 191311, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:esprep:191311
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    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/191311/1/20190100_bn_the_harder_they_fall_rn.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bichler, Shimshon & Nitzan, Jonathan, 2018. "With their Back to the Future: Will Past Earnings Trigger the Next Crisis," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, issue 18, pages 41-56.
    2. Nitzan, Jonathan, 1992. "Inflation As Restructuring. A Theoretical and Empirical Account of the U.S. Experience," EconStor Theses, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 157989, July.
    3. James C. Bonbright, 1921. "Earning Power as a Basis of Corporate Capitalization," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 35(3), pages 482-490.
    4. Bichler, Shimshon & Nitzan, Jonathan, 2010. "Systemic Fear, Modern Finance and the Future of Capitalism," EconStor Preprints 157830, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    5. Baines, Joseph & Hager, Sandy Brian, 2019. "Financial Crisis, Inequality, and Capitalist Diversity: A Critique of the Capital as Power Model of the Stock Market," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, issue Online Fi.
    6. Nitzan, Jonathan, 1998. "Differential Accumulation: Toward a New Political Economy of Capital," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 5(2), pages 169-217.
    7. Kliman, Andrew & Bichler, Shimshon & Nitzan, Jonathan, 2011. "Systemic Crisis, Systemic Fear: An Exchange," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, issue 4, pages 61-118.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    capital as power; capitalized power; stock market; systemic crisis; systemic fear;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • P16 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Capitalist Economies - - - Capitalist Institutions; Welfare State
    • P1 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Capitalist Economies
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G - Financial Economics

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