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The long-run impact of historical shocks on the decision to migrate: Evidence from the Irish Migration

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  • Narciso, Gaia
  • Severgnini, Battista
  • Vardanyan, Gayane

Abstract

This study investigates how negative historical shocks can explain migration in the long-run. We construct a unique dataset based on the early 20th century Irish Census data and a selection of the Ellis Island Administrative Records which allow us to test whether the Great Irish Famine (1845-1850), one of the most lethal starvation in history, has shaped the decision of migrating to the USA in the following 70 years. We control for several set of individual and geographical characteristics and we find that the Irish Famine was an important significant driver of individuals’ migration choices. Instrumental variable analysis based on the exogenous spread of the potato blight provides consistent results.

Suggested Citation

  • Narciso, Gaia & Severgnini, Battista & Vardanyan, Gayane, 2018. "The long-run impact of historical shocks on the decision to migrate: Evidence from the Irish Migration," EconStor Preprints 187690, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:esprep:187690
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    2. Narciso, Gaia & Severgnini, Battista, 2023. "The deep roots of rebellion," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • N33 - Economic History - - Labor and Consumers, Demography, Education, Health, Welfare, Income, Wealth, Religion, and Philanthropy - - - Europe: Pre-1913
    • N93 - Economic History - - Regional and Urban History - - - Europe: Pre-1913

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