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Social impacts of climate change in Bolivia : a municipal level analysis of the effects of recent climate change on life expectancy, consumption, poverty and inequality

Author

Listed:
  • Andersen, Lykke E.
  • Verner, Dorte

Abstract

This paper analyzes the direct evidence of climate change in Bolivia during the past 60 years, and estimates how these changes have affected life expectancy and consumption levels for each of the 311 municipalities in Bolivia. Contrary to the predictions of most general circulation models, the evidence shows a consistent cooling trend of about 0.2°C per decade over all highland areas, slight and scattered evidence of warming in the lowlands, and no systematic changes in precipitation. The estimations indicate that the 1°C cooling experienced in the already cold highlands over the past five decades likely has reduced consumption possibilities by about 2-3 percent in these areas. Since the much richer population in the lowlands have benefitted slightly from recent climate change, the simulations suggest that recent climate change has contributed to an increase in inequality and poverty in Bolivia. Poor and indigenous peoples in the highlands are among the most severely affected populations. No statistically significant effect on life expectancy was found.

Suggested Citation

  • Andersen, Lykke E. & Verner, Dorte, 2009. "Social impacts of climate change in Bolivia : a municipal level analysis of the effects of recent climate change on life expectancy, consumption, poverty and inequality," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5092, The World Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:5092
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    Cited by:

    1. Delgadillo Chavarria, Carlos Bruno, 2019. "Gasto Público Social, Gobernanza y Desarrollo Humano: Una Aplicación con Datos Municipales de Bolivia: 1994-2008 [Social Public Expenditure, Governance and Human Development: An Application with Mu," MPRA Paper 95552, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 04 Aug 2019.
    2. Joseph I. Amuka & Fredrick O. Asogwa & Romanus O. Ugwuanyi & Ambrose N. Omeje & Tochukwu Onyechi, 2018. "Climate change and Life Expectancy in a Developing Country: Evidence from Greenhouse Gas (CO2) Emission in Nigeria," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 8(4), pages 113-119.
    3. Adrian Brügger & Robert Tobias & Fredy S. Monge-Rodríguez, 2021. "Public Perceptions of Climate Change in the Peruvian Andes," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-27, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Climate Change Mitigation and Green House Gases; Science of Climate Change; Climate Change Economics; Global Environment Facility; Population Policies;
    All these keywords.

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