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Exploring the oil prices and exchange rates nexus in some African economies

Author

Listed:
  • Vitaly Pershin

    (University of Navarra)

  • Juan Carlos Molero

    (University of Navarra)

  • Fernando Pérez de Gracia

    (University of Navarra)

Abstract

This paper investigates the relationship between oil prices and exchange rates in three African countries using a Vector AutoRegressive (VAR) model. We use daily dataset on nominal exchange rates, oil prices and short term interbank interest rates from 01/12/2003 to 02/07/2014. The results suggest that the exchange rate of three selected countries displayed differing in the event of an oil price shock, not only before and after the oil peak of July of 2008, but also between each other, implying that no general rule can be made for net oil importing sub-Saharan countries, such as Botswana, Kenya and Tanzania. From our analysis we conclude that after an oil price peak, the Botswanan pula clearly appreciates against the US dollar, the Kenyan and Tanzanian shilling.

Suggested Citation

  • Vitaly Pershin & Juan Carlos Molero & Fernando Pérez de Gracia, 2015. "Exploring the oil prices and exchange rates nexus in some African economies," Faculty Working Papers 01/15, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra.
    • Handle: RePEc:una:unccee:wp0115
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    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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