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Foreign Direct Investment and its Determinants in the Chilean Case: Unit Roots, Structural Breaks, and Cointegration Analysis

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  • Miguel D. Ramirez

    (Department of Economics, Trinity College)

Abstract

This paper examines the major economic and institutional factors underlying the surge in foreign direct investment (FDI) flows to Chile during recent decades. It presents econometric evidence for the 1960-2003 period which indicates that market-based economic reforms and major changes in the institutional-legal status of foreign capital are, in large measure, responsible for the rapid increase in FDI inflows to leading sectors of the Chilean economy. Single break unit root and cointegration analysis suggest that market size, the real exchange rate, the debtservice ratio, the secondary enrollment ratio, physical infrastructure, and institutional reforms such as the elimination of restrictions on profit and dividend remittances and the implementation of a selective debt conversion program are economically significant in explaining the variation in FDI inflows to the country. The paper also addresses the long-term negative effects which rapidly growing profit and dividend remittances may have on the financing of capital formation and the Chilean balance of payments.

Suggested Citation

  • Miguel D. Ramirez, 2010. "Foreign Direct Investment and its Determinants in the Chilean Case: Unit Roots, Structural Breaks, and Cointegration Analysis," Working Papers 1006, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:tri:wpaper:1006
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    File URL: http://www3.trincoll.edu/repec/WorkingPapers2010/wp10-06.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. -, 2008. "Foreign Investment in Latin America and the Caribbean 2007," La Inversión Extranjera Directa en América Latina y el Caribe, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 1136 edited by Eclac, September.
    2. Glauco Vita & Kevin Lawler, 2004. "Foreign Direct Investment and its Determinants: A Look to the Past, A View to the Future," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Harbhajan S. Kehal (ed.), Foreign Investment in Developing Countries, chapter 1, pages 13-32, Palgrave Macmillan.
    3. -, 2007. "Foreign Investment in Latin America and the Caribbean 2006," La Inversión Extranjera Directa en América Latina y el Caribe, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 1133 edited by Eclac, September.
    4. -, 2005. "Foreign Investment in Latin America and the Caribbean 2004," La Inversión Extranjera Directa en América Latina y el Caribe, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 1129 edited by Eclac, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Akaike Information Criterion (AIC); Chilean economy; cointegration analysis; error correction model; FDI flows; Granger causality test; Johansen and Juselius test; remittances of profits and dividends; Structural breaks and unit roots; Theil inequality coefficient; Zivot and Andrews one-break unit root test;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • O57 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Comparative Studies of Countries

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