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A technology gap approach to why growth rates differ

Listed author(s):
  • Jan Fagerberg

    (Centre for Technology, Innovation and Culture, University of Oslo)

This paper contains a discussion and test of the technology gap approach to development and growth. The basic hypotheses of the theory are tested on pooled cross-sectional and time-series data for 25 industrial countries for the period 1960-1983. The sample includes, in addition to 19 OECD countries, 6 of the most important industrial economies from the non-OECD area. The findings of the paper confirm that there exists a close correlation between the level of economic development, measured as GDP per capita, and the level of technological development, measured through R&D or patent statistics. Furthermore, for the group of 25 countries as a whole, technology gap models of economic growth are found to explain a large part of the actual differences in growth rates, both between countries and periods. As expected, both the scope for imitation, growth in innovative activity and "efforts" to narrow the gap (investment) appear as powerful explanatory factors of economic growth. However, when the non-OECD countries, and later USA and Japan, are removed from the sample, the explanatory power of the technology variables, especially growth in innovative activity, diminishes.

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File URL: http://www.tik.uio.no/InnoWP/archive/wpno002-1987.pdf
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Paper provided by Centre for Technology, Innovation and Culture, University of Oslo in its series Working Papers Archives with number 1987002.

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Length: 23 pages
Date of creation: Jan 1987
Handle: RePEc:tik:wparch:1987002
Note: This is an “accepted author manuscript” version of a work that was accepted for publication in Research Policy. An accepted author manuscript (AAM) is the author’s version of the manuscript of an article that has been accepted for publication and which may include any author-incorporated changes suggested through the processes of submission processing, peer review, and editor-author communications. AAMs do not include other publisher value-added contributions such as copy-editing, formatting, technical enhancements and (if relevant) pagination. The definitive version was published as Fagerberg, Jan (1987). A technology gap approach to why growth rates differ, Research Policy, 16 (2-4): 87-99, DOI: 10.1016/0048-7333(87)90025-4.
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  1. Bosworth, Derek L., 1984. "Foreign patent flows to and from the United Kingdom," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 115-124, April.
  2. Singer, Hans W & Reynolds, Lyn, 1975. "Technological Backwardness and Productivity Growth," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 85(340), pages 873-876, December.
  3. Cornwall, John, 1976. "Diffusion, Convergence and Kaldor's Laws," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 86(342), pages 307-314, June.
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