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Post Keynesian versus Neoclassical Explanations of Exchange Rate Movements: A Short Look at the Long Run

Author

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  • John Harvey

    (Department of Economics, Texas Christian University)

Abstract

In this paper, a series of empirical tests are conducted comparing the explanatory power of the neoclassical approach (in particular, purchasing power parity and the monetary model) with that of a long-run exchange rate model based on Post Keynesian premises (the tests use annual data for the dollar-deutsche mark and the dollar-yen from 1975 through 1998). It is shown that, despite the shift in time horizon and the biasing of the tests in favor of the neoclassical approach, the Post Keynesian approach still shows a much tighter fit to the historical facts.

Suggested Citation

  • John Harvey, 2005. "Post Keynesian versus Neoclassical Explanations of Exchange Rate Movements: A Short Look at the Long Run," Working Papers 200501, Texas Christian University, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:tcu:wpaper:200501
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    File URL: http://www.econ.tcu.edu/RePEc/tcu/wpaper/wp05-01.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2005
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. John T. Cuddington & Hong Liang, 1998. "Re-examining the Purchasing Power Parity Hypothesis Over Two centuries," International Trade 9802004, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Basil Oberholzer, 2021. "Managing commodity booms: Dutch disease and economic performance," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 74(299), pages 307-323.
    2. Francisco A. Martínez-Hernández, 2017. "The Political Economy of Real Exchange Rate Behavior: Theory and Empirical Evidence for Developed and Developing Countries, 1960–2010," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(4), pages 566-596, October.
    3. Imad Moosa & Kelly Burns, 2014. "Error correction modelling and dynamic specifications as a conduit to outperforming the random walk in exchange rate forecasting," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(25), pages 3107-3118, September.
    4. Moosa, Imad A. & Vaz, John J., 2016. "Cointegration, error correction and exchange rate forecasting," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 21-34.
    5. Annina Kaltenbrunner, 2018. "Financialised internationalisation and structural hierarchies: a mixed-method study of exchange rate determination in emerging economies," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 42(5), pages 1315-1341.
    6. Joëlle Leclaire & Tae-Hee Jo & Jane Knodell (ed.), 2011. "Heterodox Analysis of Financial Crisis and Reform," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 13978.
    7. Sajid Ali, 2016. "How does Interest rate effect Exchange rate of Pakistan. Evidence of ARDL Bound Testing Approach," Journal of Finance and Economics Research, Geist Science, Iqra University, Faculty of Business Administration, vol. 1(2), pages 119-133, October.
    8. Alfredo Castillo Polanco & Ted P. Schmidt, 2011. "Exchange Rate Regimes and the Impact of the Global Crisis on Emerging Economies," Chapters, in: Joëlle Leclaire & Tae-Hee Jo & Jane Knodell (ed.), Heterodox Analysis of Financial Crisis and Reform, chapter 12, Edward Elgar Publishing.

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    1. John T. Harvey, 2006. "Post Keynesian versus neoclassical explanations of exchange rate movements: a short look at the long run," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, M.E. Sharpe, Inc., vol. 28(2), pages 161-179, January.
    2. Cuddington, John T. & Liang, Hong, 2000. "Purchasing power parity over two centuries?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(5), pages 753-757, October.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    exchange rates; Post Keynesian; Neoclassical; long run;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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