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Bilateral Capital Flows: Gravity, Push, and Pull

Author

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  • Rogelio Mercado Jr.

    (South East Asian Central Banks (SEACEN) Research and Training Centre)

Abstract

Using bilateral capital flows data from 10 advanced reporting economies—with over 186 bilateral country pairs—for 2000 to 2016, this paper provides strong evidence on the significance of gravity factors, including distance and bilateral trade ties, in explaining cross-border financial asset flows. This finding is new to the capital flows literature that consider push and pull factors. In addition, this study offers new evidence of regional contagion as bilateral capital flows decrease more for country pairs with closer geographic proximity (or with less information frictions) than those that are farther apart when global risk aversion rises. These findings have policy implications on the importance of information frictions, bilateral trade ties, and regional cooperation on bilateral financial asset flows.

Suggested Citation

  • Rogelio Mercado Jr., 2018. "Bilateral Capital Flows: Gravity, Push, and Pull," Working Papers wp34, South East Asian Central Banks (SEACEN) Research and Training Centre.
    • Handle: RePEc:sea:wpaper:wp34
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    File URL: https://www.seacen.org/publications/RePEc/702001-100444-PDF.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Mercado, Rogelio & Noviantie, Shanty, 2020. "Financial flows centrality: Empirical evidence using bilateral capital flows," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    2. Etienne Lepers, 2024. "Cross-border real estate investment: a different animal? Comparative evidence from bilateral flow data," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 160(2), pages 481-508, May.
    3. Goswami, Mangal & Pontines, Victor & Mohammed, Yassier, 2023. "Portfolio capital flows and the US dollar exchange rate: Viewed from the lens of time and frequency dynamics of connectedness," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    4. Afonso, António & Alves, José & Beck, Krzysztof & Jackson, Karen, 2024. "Financial, institutional, and macroeconomic determinants of cross-country portfolio equity flows: The case of developed countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    5. Hakan Yilmazkuday, 2024. "Drivers of international fiscal spillovers," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(3), pages 1491-1536, November.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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