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The Impact of Population Aging on the Global Value System and Political Dynamics
[Влияние Старения Населения На Глобальную Систему Ценностей И Политическую Динамику]

Author

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  • Korotaev, Andrey (Коротаев, Андрей)

    (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))

  • Shulgin, Sergey (Шульгин, Сергей)

    (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))

  • Zinkina, Yulia (Зинькина, Юлия)

    (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))

  • Novikov, Kirill (Новиков, Кирилл)

    (Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA))

Abstract

In this paper, we study the global value system and the process of its change as a result of population aging, as well as the influence of the value system on political and social dynamics. The analysis is also carried out using the microeconomic database of the World Values ??Survey (VOTS / WVS) using APC models for separating the cohort and age effect. The paper estimates two model specifications in which cohort and age effects are singled out for individual measurements of individual values. With the use of the UN Model and UN Demographic Projections estimates of 2017, we make estimates of the dynamics of the trajectories of individual value measurements and analyze of the possible consequences of the projected changes.

Suggested Citation

  • Korotaev, Andrey (Коротаев, Андрей) & Shulgin, Sergey (Шульгин, Сергей) & Zinkina, Yulia (Зинькина, Юлия) & Novikov, Kirill (Новиков, Кирилл), 2018. "The Impact of Population Aging on the Global Value System and Political Dynamics [Влияние Старения Населения На Глобальную Систему Ценностей И Политическую Динамику]," Working Papers 031806, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
    • Handle: RePEc:rnp:wpaper:031806
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    1. Alexandra M. Freund & Paul B. Baltes, 2002. "The Adaptiveness of Selection, Optimization, and Compensation as Strategies of Life Management," The Journals of Gerontology: Series B, The Gerontological Society of America, vol. 57(5), pages 426-434.
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