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The Return to Wealth, Asset Pricing, and the Intertemporal Elasticity of Substitution

  • Thomas D. Tallarini

    (Jr., Federal Reserve Board)

  • Amir Yaron

    (Univ. of Pennsylvania (Wharton))

  • Ravi Bansal

    (Duke University (Fuqua))

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    We estimate a consumption-based asset pricing model with Epstein-Zin (1989) preferences. The intertemporal marginal rate of substitution (IMRS) depends on the return on total wealth. Rather than use the stock market as a proxy for wealth, we construct a more comprehensive return: we include the value of corporate equity and debt, durable goods (houses), and human capital. Our measure of human capital and its return is estimated jointly with the preference parameters. Our preliminary results are: the intertemporal elasticity of substitution is greater than one, the IMRS satisfies the Hansen-Jagannathan (1991) bound, and human capital comprises about 85 percent of total wealth, its return is about 6 percent per year (about 2 percentage points lower than equities) and has a Sharpe ratio that is about double that of equities.

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    Paper provided by Society for Economic Dynamics in its series 2008 Meeting Papers with number 918.

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    Date of creation: 2008
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:red:sed008:918
    Contact details of provider: Postal: Society for Economic Dynamics Marina Azzimonti Department of Economics Stonybrook University 10 Nicolls Road Stonybrook NY 11790 USA
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    1. Jagannathan, Ravi & Wang, Zhenyu, 1996. " The Conditional CAPM and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 51(1), pages 3-53, March.
    2. Robert E. Hall, 1981. "Intertemporal Substitution in Consumption," NBER Working Papers 0720, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Campbell, John, 1996. "Understanding Risk and Return," Scholarly Articles 3153293, Harvard University Department of Economics.
    4. Davis, Morris A. & Heathcote, Jonathan, 2007. "The price and quantity of residential land in the United States," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(8), pages 2595-2620, November.
    5. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1991. "A simple estimator of cointegrating vectors in higher order integrated systems," Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues 91-3, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    6. Ravi Bansal & Amir Yaron, 2004. "Risks for the Long Run: A Potential Resolution of Asset Pricing Puzzles," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 59(4), pages 1481-1509, 08.
    7. Epstein, Larry G & Zin, Stanley E, 1989. "Substitution, Risk Aversion, and the Temporal Behavior of Consumption and Asset Returns: A Theoretical Framework," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(4), pages 937-69, July.
    8. Whelan, Karl, 2002. "A Guide to U.S. Chain Aggregated NIPA Data," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 48(2), pages 217-33, June.
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