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Terrorism and Foreign Direct Investment: An Empirical Analysis of SAARC Countries

Author

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  • Shah, Mumtaz Hussain
  • Faiz, Mehreen

Abstract

The current state of terrorism has posed serious challenges to stability of macroeconomic environment causing the displacement of foreign direct investment (FDI). This study aims to find the impact of terrorism along with other important location variables such as market size, economic growth, exchange rate, infrastructure and trade openness on FDI inflows in five SAARC member nations, namely, Bangladesh, India, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka. Utilising a panel econometric estimation model on annual data from 1980-2012 the results of the study showed a significant positive impact of market size, trade openness, infrastructure availability and economic growth on inward FDI in these SAARC countries. Whereas, exchange rate volatility exhibited a negative relationship with FDI inflows. The results revealed that terrorism has statistically significant and negative rapport with FDI inflows. This empirically establishes the fact that terrorism is a serious threat to FDI and economic growth for the economies in this region.

Suggested Citation

  • Shah, Mumtaz Hussain & Faiz, Mehreen, 2015. "Terrorism and Foreign Direct Investment: An Empirical Analysis of SAARC Countries," MPRA Paper 82008, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:82008
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    11. Muhammad Azam & Ather Maqsood Ahmed, 2015. "Role of human capital and foreign direct investment in promoting economic growth," International Journal of Social Economics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 42(2), pages 98-111, February.
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Cited by:

    1. Shah, Mumtaz Hussain, 2018. "Corruption & Foreign Direct Investment: The Case of South Asia," MPRA Paper 107253, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Mumtaz Hussain Shah & Yahya Khan, 2016. "Trade Liberalisation and FDI Inflows in Emerging Economies," Business & Economic Review, Institute of Management Sciences, Peshawar, Pakistan, vol. 8(1), pages 35-52, April.
    3. Mumtaz Hussain Shah & Anum Gul Afridi, 2015. "Significance of Good Governance for FDI Inflows in SAARC Countries," Business & Economic Review, Institute of Management Sciences, Peshawar, Pakistan, vol. 7(2), pages 31-52, October.
    4. Mumtaz Hussain Shah, 2017. "Political Institutions and the Incidence of FDI in South Asia," Business & Economic Review, Institute of Management Sciences, Peshawar, Pakistan, vol. 9(1), pages 21-42, March.
    5. Shah, Mumtaz Hussain & Azam, Ayesha, 2018. "Financial Development and Investors Location Choice in The Arab World," MPRA Paper 107245, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Shah, Mumtaz Hussain & Khan, Faisal, 2019. "Telecommunication Infrastructure Development and FDI into Asian Developing Nations," MPRA Paper 107255, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Shah, Mumtaz Hussain & Lala, Gule, 2017. "Autocracy, Democracy and FDI inflows in Asian Developing Countries," MPRA Paper 107248, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Shah, Mumtaz Hussain & Khan, Sajjad, 2017. "Factors Effecting Commercial Banks Profitability in Pakistan," MPRA Paper 82016, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Metaxas, Theodore & Kechagia, Polyxeni, 2017. "FDI and Terrorism in developing Asia: Approaches and Discussion," MPRA Paper 78165, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Polyxeni, Kechagia & Theodore, Metaxas, 2019. "An empirical investigation of FDI inflows in developing economies: Terrorism as a determinant factor," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).
    11. Shah, Mumtaz Hussain, 2017. "The Significance of WTO’s Trade Related Investment Measures (TRIMs) Agreement For Inward FDI in Sub-Saharan Africa," MPRA Paper 82009, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Shah, Mumtaz Hussain, 2016. "Financial development and foreign direct investment: The case of Middle East and North African (MENA) developing nations," MPRA Paper 82013, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Shah, Mumtaz Hussain & Jamil, Iqra, 2016. "Trade Agreements and Transnational Corporations Presence in the Developing Asia," MPRA Paper 107250, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Shah, Mumtaz Hussain, 2016. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Stability on Inward FDI in African Developing Countries," MPRA Paper 82014, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Faris Alshubiri & Abdullah AlGhazali, 2025. "Does Terrorism Hamper Foreign Greenfield Investment Inflows? Empirical Evidence from MENA Countries," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 32(2), pages 711-742, June.
    16. Maja Nikšić Radić, 2018. "Terrorism as a Determinant of Attracting FDI in Tourism: Panel Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-17, December.
    17. Shah, Mumtaz Hussain & Ali, Zahid, 2016. "What Drives Foreign Direct Investment to BRICS?," MPRA Paper 107252, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Mumtaz Hussain Shah & Saba Qayyum, 2015. "Impact of Double Taxation Treaties on Inward FDI in Latin American and Caribbean Developing Countries," Business & Economic Review, Institute of Management Sciences, Peshawar, Pakistan, vol. 7(1), pages 1-18, April.
    19. Shah, Mumtaz Hussain & Khan, Fiaz, 2018. "Profitability and Working Capital Management Nexus: Evidence from Food & Personal Care Products Sector Firms Listed on Pakistan Stock Exchange," MPRA Paper 107254, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Shah, Mumtaz Hussain & Zeb, Aisha, 2017. "Prudent Macro Management of the Economy and Inward FDI in ASEAN Member States," MPRA Paper 107249, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Abrahms, Max & Dau, Luis Alfonso & Moore, Elizabeth M., 2023. "Should I stay or should I go now? Understanding terrorism as a driver of institutional escapism," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 32(4).
    22. Shah, Mumtaz Hussain & Khan, Atta Ullah, 2017. "Factors determining capital structure of Pakistani non-financial firms," MPRA Paper 82015, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    23. Kechagia, Polyxeni & Metaxas, Theodore, 2017. "FDI and Terrorism in the developing Asian countries: A panel data analysis," MPRA Paper 80945, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business

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