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Delayed Default Dependency and Default Contagion


  • Balakrishna, B S


Delayed, hence non-simultaneous, dependent defaults are discussed in a reduced form model. The model is a generalization of a multi-factor model based on simultaneous defaults to incorporate delayed defaults. It provides a natural smoothening of discontinuities in the joint probability densities in models with simultaneous defaults. It is a dynamic model that exhibits default contagion in a multi-factor setting. It admits an efficient Monte Carlo simulation algorithm that can handle heterogeneous collections of credit names. It can be calibrated to provide exact fits to CDX.NA.IG and iTraxx Europe CDOs just as its version with simultaneous defaults.

Suggested Citation

  • Balakrishna, B S, 2007. "Delayed Default Dependency and Default Contagion," MPRA Paper 14921, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 15 May 2007.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:14921

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Giesecke, Kay, 2001. "Correlated default with incomplete information," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 2002,30, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.
    2. Duffie, Darrell & Singleton, Kenneth J, 1999. "Modeling Term Structures of Defaultable Bonds," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 12(4), pages 687-720.
    3. Robert A. Jarrow & Fan Yu, 2008. "Counterparty Risk and the Pricing of Defaultable Securities," World Scientific Book Chapters,in: Financial Derivatives Pricing Selected Works of Robert Jarrow, chapter 20, pages 481-515 World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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    Cited by:

    1. Balakrishna, B S, 2008. "Levy Density Based Intensity Modeling of the Correlation Smile," MPRA Paper 14922, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 06 Apr 2009.
    2. Balakrishna, B S, 2010. "Levy Subordinator Model: A Two Parameter Model of Default Dependency," MPRA Paper 26274, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item


    Default Risk; Default Correlation; Default Contagion; Delayed Default; CDO; Monte Carlo;

    JEL classification:

    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing


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