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Egyptian Intra Agriculture Trade with Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa Trading Partners: A Gravity Model

Author

Listed:
  • Mahmood, Haider
  • Alkhateeb, Tarek Tawfik Yousef
  • Maalel, Nabil

Abstract

The regional trade provides better environment for any country to achieve the trade objective instead of a total free trade in this modern age. This study investigates the determinants of Egyptian agriculture trade with her 20 Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA) trading partners by using data of 1990-2015 and by applying pooled mean group estimators on gravity model. Our results are confirming the panel cointegration in our model. Egyptian gross domestic product (GDP) and population are negatively influencing to the agriculture balance of trade (BOT). COMESA trading partners’ GDP and population have positive impact on the BOT. The exchange rate depreciation has unfavorable impact on agriculture BOT in the short run and has a favorable impact in long run. This is an evidence for presence of J-curve hypothesis in Egyptian trade in COMESA region and also showing an elastic behavior of exchange rate on BOT in the long run. Hence, this study recommends to Egyptian policy makers to adopt depreciation policy to correct agriculture BOT with COMESA trading partners.

Suggested Citation

  • Mahmood, Haider & Alkhateeb, Tarek Tawfik Yousef & Maalel, Nabil, 2017. "Egyptian Intra Agriculture Trade with Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa Trading Partners: A Gravity Model," MPRA Paper 109145, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:109145
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Im, Kyung So & Pesaran, M. Hashem & Shin, Yongcheol, 2003. "Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 53-74, July.
    2. Haider Mehmood & Amjad Ali & Muhammad Irfan Chani, 2013. "Determination of Aggregate Imports Function: Time Series Evidence for Tunisia," International Journal of Economics and Empirical Research (IJEER), The Economics and Social Development Organization (TESDO), vol. 1(6), pages 74-82, June.
    3. Evgenie P. Zharikov & Alla A. Kravchenko & Olesya O. Sergeeva & Victor V. Stetsyuk, 2016. "Econometric Estimation of Bilateral Transboundary Trade between Russia and China," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(3), pages 1068-1071.
    4. Alkhateeb, Tarek Tawfik Yousef & Mahmood, Haider & Sultan, Zafar Ahmad, 2016. "The Relationship between Exports and Economic Growth in Saudi Arabia," MPRA Paper 109459, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Tarek Tawfik Yousef Alkhateeb & Zafar Ahmad Sultan & Haider Mahmood, 2017. "Oil Revenue, Public Spending, Gross Domestic Product and Employment in Saudi Arabia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 7(6), pages 27-31.
    6. Tarek Tawfik Yousef Alkhateeb & Haider Mahmood & Zafar Ahmad Sultan, 2016. "The Relationship between Exports and Economic Growth in Saudi Arabia," Asian Social Science, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 12(4), pages 117-117, April.
    7. Rao Muhammad Atif & Liu Haiyun & Haider Mahmood, 2017. "Pakistan's agricultural exports, determinants and its potential: an application of stochastic frontier gravity model," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(3), pages 257-276, April.
    8. Natalia Victorovna Kuznetsova & Ekaterina Victorovna Kocheva & Nikolay Anatolievich Matev, 2016. "The Analysis of Foreign Trade Activities of Russia and Asia-pacific Region," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(2), pages 736-744.
    9. Haider Mahmood & Tarek Tawfik Yousef Alkhateeb & Tarek Tawfik Yousef Alkhateeb, 2017. "Testing Asymmetrical Effect of Exchange Rate on Saudi Service Sector Trade: A Non-linear Auto-regressive Distributive Lag Approach," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(1), pages 73-77.
    10. Irwan Shah Zainal Abidin & Muhammad Haseeb & Rabiul Islam, 2016. "Regional Integration of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations Economic Community: An Analysis of Malaysia - Association of Southeast Asian Nations Exports," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(2), pages 646-652.
    11. Haider Mahmood & Tarek Tawfik Yousef Alkhateeb, 2017. "Trade and Environment Nexus in Saudi Arabia: An Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 7(5), pages 291-295.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agriculture Balance of Trade; Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa; Gross Domestic Product; Panel Cointegration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade

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