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When Institutions Interact: How the Effects of Unemployment Insurance are Shaped by Retirement Policies

Author

Listed:
  • Matthew Gudgeon
  • Pablo Guzman
  • Johannes F. Schmieder
  • Simon Trenkle
  • Han Ye

Abstract

This paper shows empirically that the non-employment effects of unemployment insurance (UI) for older workers depend in a first-order way on the structure of retirement policies. Using German data, we first present reduced-form evidence of these interactions, documenting large bunching in UI inflows at the age that allows workers to claim their pension following UI expiration. We then estimate a dynamic life-cycle model and use it to directly quantify how the effects of UI vary with retirement policies. Accounting for interactions across UI and retirement institutions also helps explain otherwise difficult-to-explain trends in the unemployment rate of older German workers.

Suggested Citation

  • Matthew Gudgeon & Pablo Guzman & Johannes F. Schmieder & Simon Trenkle & Han Ye, 2023. "When Institutions Interact: How the Effects of Unemployment Insurance are Shaped by Retirement Policies," NBER Working Papers 31807, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:31807
    Note: AG LS PE
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Schneider, Hilmar & Stuhler, Jan, 2007. "Die fiskalischen Kosten der SGB-Regelungen zum erleichterten Bezug von Arbeitslosengeld für Ältere (58er-Regelung)," IZA Research Reports 15, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    2. Stephan Dlugosz & Gesine Stephan & Ralf A. Wilke, 2014. "Fixing the Leak: Unemployment Incidence before and after a Major Reform of Unemployment Benefits in Germany," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 15(3), pages 329-352, August.
    3. Simon Jäger & Shakked Noy & Benjamin Schoefer, 2022. "The German Model of Industrial Relations: Balancing Flexibility and Collective Action," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 36(4), pages 53-80, Fall.
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    Cited by:

    1. Jessen, Jonas & Jessen, Robin & Galecka-Burdziak, Ewa & Góra, Marek & Kluve, Jochen, 2023. "The Micro and Macro Effects of Changes in the Potential Benefit Duration," IZA Discussion Papers 15978, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    2. Nassal, Lea, 2025. "Job Loss and Retirement," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 1565, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    3. Sona Badalyan, 2025. "Peer Effects in Old-Age Employment Among Women," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp800, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    4. Bertermann, Alexander & Dauth, Wolfgang & Suedekum, Jens & Woessmann, Ludger, 2025. "Training or Retiring? How Labor Markets Adjust to Trade and Technology Shocks," IZA Discussion Papers 18247, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • J2 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor
    • J26 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Retirement; Retirement Policies
    • J6 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers
    • J63 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
    • J65 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment Insurance; Severance Pay; Plant Closings
    • J68 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Public Policy

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