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Long Term Effects of Cash Transfer Programs in Colombia

Author

Listed:
  • Orazio Attanasio
  • Lina Cardona Sosa
  • Carlos Medina
  • Costas Meghir
  • Christian Manuel Posso-Suárez

Abstract

Conditional Cash transfer (CCT) programs have been shown to have positive effects on a variety of outcomes including education, consumption and health visits, amongst others. We estimate the long-run impacts of the urban version of Familias en Acción, the Colombian CCT program on crime, teenage pregnancy, high school dropout and college enrollment using a Regression Discontinuity design on administrative data. ITT estimates show a reduction on arrest rates of 2.7pp for men and a reduction on teenage pregnancy of 2.3pp for women. High school dropout rates were reduced by 5.8pp and college enrollment was increased by 1.7pp for men.

Suggested Citation

  • Orazio Attanasio & Lina Cardona Sosa & Carlos Medina & Costas Meghir & Christian Manuel Posso-Suárez, 2021. "Long Term Effects of Cash Transfer Programs in Colombia," NBER Working Papers 29056, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:29056
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    Cited by:

    1. Bloem, Michael D. & Villero, Jesús, 2024. "College opportunity and teen fertility: Evidence from Ser Pilo Paga in Colombia," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    2. Beuermann, Diether & Ramos Bonilla, Andrea & Stampini, Marco, 2024. "Can Conditional Cash Transfers Alter the Effectiveness of Other Human Capital Development Policies?," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 13484, Inter-American Development Bank.
    3. Adrienne M. Lucas & Patrick J. McEwan & David Torres Irribarra, 2025. "Targeted Education Transfers Reduced Long-Run and Intergenerational Ethnic Inequality in Chile," NBER Working Papers 33798, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Clotilde Mahé & Philipp Hessel, 2022. "School-age exposure to conditional cash transfers and adult mental health: Evidence from Mexico’s Progresa," Documentos de trabajo 20155, Escuela de Gobierno - Universidad de los Andes.
    5. Vera-Cossio, Diego A. & Hoffmann, Bridget & Pecha, Camilo & Gallego, Jorge & Stampini, Marco & Vargas, David & Medina, María Paula & Álvarez, Esteban, 2023. "Re-thinking Social Protection: From Poverty Alleviation to Building Resilience in Middle-Income Households," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 12925, Inter-American Development Bank.
    6. Grisolia, Filippo, 2024. "Can cash transfers really be transformative? A literature review of the sustainability of their impacts," IOB Discussion Papers 2024.02, Universiteit Antwerpen, Institute of Development Policy (IOB).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D04 - Microeconomics - - General - - - Microeconomic Policy: Formulation; Implementation; Evaluation
    • I23 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Higher Education; Research Institutions
    • I28 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Government Policy
    • I31 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - General Welfare, Well-Being
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law

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