The Poverty of Widows: Future Prospects
I estimate the fraction of widows that will be in poverty by projecting the economic status, as measured in 1979, of a cohort of the elderly. The projections are based on an economic model of consumption behavior. I define and estimate a consumption-based measure of poverty status that, I believe, is more appropriate for the elderly than the usual income-based measure. According to the projections, the fraction of widows in poverty should not increase substantially as the 1979 cohort ages. However, the fraction in poverty depends critically on the definition: the differences between the consumption- and income- based measures are large. But even more important is the valuation put on Medicare/Medicaid: for two reasonable valuations, the fractions in poverty are very different.
|Date of creation:||Jul 1987|
|Date of revision:|
|Publication status:||published as The Poverty of Widows: Future Prospects , Michael D. Hurd. in The Economics of Aging , Wise. 1989|
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- Davies, James B, 1981. "Uncertain Lifetime, Consumption, and Dissaving in Retirement," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 89(3), pages 561-77, June.
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- Michael D. Hurd & David A. Wise, 1987.
"The Wealth and Poverty of Widows: Assets Before and After the Husband's Death,"
NBER Working Papers
2325, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Michael D. Hurd & David A. Wise, 1989. "The Wealth and Poverty of Widows: Assets Before and After the Husband's Death," NBER Chapters, in: The Economics of Aging, pages 177-200 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Hurd, Michael D, 1989. "Mortality Risk and Bequests," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(4), pages 779-813, July.
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in: Issues in Pension Economics, pages 211-236
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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