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An omnibus test to detect time-heterogeneity in time series

Author

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  • Dominique Guegan

    (Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne - Paris School of Economics)

  • Philippe de Peretti

    (Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne)

Abstract

This paper focuses on a procedure to test for structural changes in the first two moments of a time series, when no information about the process driving the breaks is available. We model the series as a finite-order auto-regressive process plus an orthogonal Bernstein polynomial to capture heterogeneity. Testing for the null of time-invariance is then achieved by testing the order of the polynomial, using either an information criterion, or a restriction test. The procedure is an omnibus test in the sense that it covers both the pure discrete structural changes and some continuous changes models. To some extent, our paper can be seen as an extension of Heracleous et al. (Econom Rev 27:363–384, 2008)

Suggested Citation

  • Dominique Guegan & Philippe de Peretti, 2010. "An omnibus test to detect time-heterogeneity in time series," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 10098, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
    • Handle: RePEc:mse:cesdoc:10098
    DOI: 10.1007/s00180-012-0356-7
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    JEL classification:

    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics
    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General

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