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How Does Parental Divorce Affect Children's Long-term Outcomes?

Author

Listed:
  • Martin Halla
  • Wolfgang Frimmel
  • Rudolf Winter-Ebmer

Abstract

Numerous papers report a negative association between parental divorce and child outcomes. To provide evidence whether this correlation is driven by a causal effect, we exploit idiosyncratic variation in the extent of sexual integration in fathers’ workplaces: Fathers who encounter more women in their relevant age-occupationgroup on-the-job are more likely to divorce. This results holds also conditioning on the overall share of female co-workers in a firm. We find that parental divorce has persistent, and mostly negative, effects on children that differ significantly between boys and girls. Treated boys have lower levels of educational attainment, worse labor market outcomes, and are more likely to die early. Treated girls have also lower levels of educational attainment, but they are also more likely to become mother at an early age (especially during teenage years). Treated girls experience almost no negative employment effects. The latter effect could be a direct consequence from the teenage motherhood, which may initiate an early entry to the labor market.

Suggested Citation

  • Martin Halla & Wolfgang Frimmel & Rudolf Winter-Ebmer, 2016. "How Does Parental Divorce Affect Children's Long-term Outcomes?," CDL Aging, Health, Labor working papers 2016-03, The Christian Doppler (CD) Laboratory Aging, Health, and the Labor Market, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria.
  • Handle: RePEc:jku:cdlwps:wp1603
    Note: English
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    Cited by:

    1. Hertegård, Edvin, 2024. "Divorce Law Reform, Family Stability, and Children’s Long-Term Outcomes," SOFI Working Papers in Labour Economics 1/2025, Stockholm University, Swedish Institute for Social Research.
    2. Matthew Gregg & Melinda C. Miller, 2022. "Race and agriculture during the assimilation era: Evidence from the Eastern Band of Cherokee Indians," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 46(37), pages 1109-1136.
    3. Noghanibehambari, Hamid & Slusky, David & Vu, Hoa, 2025. "From Access to Wellness: Early Life Exposure to Abortion Legalization and the Next Generation’s Health," IZA Discussion Papers 17760, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    4. Martín Finkelstein, 2025. "The impact of family structure on educational attainment: an analysis for Mexico using EMOVI-2017," CEDLAS, Working Papers 0362, CEDLAS, Universidad Nacional de La Plata.
    5. Yen-Chien Chen & Elliott Fan & Jin-Tan Liu, 2019. "Understanding the Mechanisms of Parental Divorce Effects on Child’s Higher Education," NBER Working Papers 25886, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Hélène Le Forner, 2019. "Age At Parents' Separation And Children Achievement: Evidence From France Using A Sibling Approach," AMSE Working Papers 1928, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
    7. Hélène Le Forner, 2023. "Parents' Separation: What is the Effect on Parents' and Children's Time Investments?," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 85(4), pages 718-754, August.
    8. Andrew C. Johnston & Maggie R. Jones & Nolan G. Pope, 2025. "Divorce, Family Arrangements, and Children's Adult Outcomes," NBER Working Papers 33776, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Giulia Briselli & Wookun Kim, 2025. "Unintended Consequences of Immigration Reform: Marriage Market, Intra-Household Bargaining, and Well-Being," CESifo Working Paper Series 12222, CESifo.
    10. Hertegård, Edvin, 2024. "Divorce law reform, family stability, and children's long-term outcomes," Working Paper Series 2024:11, IFAU - Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy.
    11. Hertegård, Edvin, 2025. "The Rising Educational Penalties of Parental Divorce Across Generations," SOFI Working Papers in Labour Economics 3/2025, Stockholm University, Swedish Institute for Social Research, revised 08 Sep 2025.
    12. Gloria Moroni, 2018. "Explaining Divorce Gaps in Cognitive and Noncognitive Skills of Children," Discussion Papers 18/16, Department of Economics, University of York.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • J12 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Marriage; Marital Dissolution; Family Structure
    • D13 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Household Production and Intrahouse Allocation
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity

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