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Facing the Future: Time for the EU to meet Global Challenges

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What will the world look like in 2025? What are the possible future disruptive global challenges? And how can the EU position itself to take an active role in shaping a response to them? This publication offers possible answers to these questions through the identification of three main challenges and potential responses to these, and concludes that the main policy issues to be considered at EU level are: policy alignment towards sustainability; social diversity and the use of ICT for citizen empowerment; and the need to embed capabilities for anticipating future challenges to enable these to become new opportunities. The methodology applied combines widely accepted quantified trends by 2025 and beyond with the opinions of experts and policy makers on the likely consequences of these trends and wild cards. A multi-criteria quantitative analysis (Robust Portfolio Modelling) was used as a novel element to prioritise issues as a basis for discussion with selected experts and policy makers. This work has been undertaken in close cooperation with the Bureau of European Policy Advisors of the European Commission.

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  • John Mark Boden & Cristiano Cagnin & Vicente Carabias Barcelo & Karel Haegeman & Timo-Topias Totti Könnölä, 2010. "Facing the Future: Time for the EU to meet Global Challenges," JRC Research Reports JRC56873, Joint Research Centre, revised May 2010.
    • Handle: RePEc:ipt:iptwpa:jrc56873
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    File URL: https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC56873
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    1. Robinson, Douglas K.R. & Mazzucato, Mariana, 2019. "The evolution of mission-oriented policies: Exploring changing market creating policies in the US and European space sector," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 48(4), pages 936-948.
    2. Cagnin, Cristiano & Havas, Attila & Saritas, Ozcan, 2013. "Future-oriented technology analysis: Its potential to address disruptive transformations," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 80(3), pages 379-385.
    3. Dirk Meissner & Alexander Sokolov, 2013. "Foresight and science, technology and innovation indicators," Chapters, in: Fred Gault (ed.), Handbook of Innovation Indicators and Measurement, chapter 16, pages 381-402, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    4. L. Kapranova D. & Л. Капранова Д., 2018. "Цифровая экономика в России: состояние и перспективы развития // The Digital Economy in Russia: Its State and Prospects of Development," Экономика. Налоги. Право // Economics, taxes & law, ФГОБУ "Финансовый университет при Правительстве Российской Федерации" // Financial University under The Government of Russian Federation, vol. 11(2), pages 58-69.
    5. José-Miguel Fernández-Güell & Marta Collado-Lara & Silvia Guzmán-Araña & Victoria Fernández-Añez, 2016. "Incorporating a Systemic and Foresight Approach into Smart City Initiatives: The Case of Spanish Cities," Journal of Urban Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 43-67, July.
    6. Gatt, Suzanne & Faurschou, Kim, 2016. "Implementing the European Quality Assurance in Vocational Education and Training (EQAVET) at National Level: Some Insights from the PEN Leonardo Project," International Journal for Research in Vocational Education and Training (IJRVET), European Research Network in Vocational Education and Training (VETNET), European Educational Research Association, vol. 3(1), pages 29-45.
    7. De Smedt, Peter & Borch, Kristian & Fuller, Ted, 2013. "Future scenarios to inspire innovation," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 80(3), pages 432-443.
    8. Baum, Peter, 2011. "A new track for technology: Can ICT take care for healthier lifestyles?," 22nd European Regional ITS Conference, Budapest 2011: Innovative ICT Applications - Emerging Regulatory, Economic and Policy Issues 52185, International Telecommunications Society (ITS).

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