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Japanese Effective Exchange Rates and Determinants: Prices, Real Interest Rates, and Actual and Optimal Current Accounts

Author

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  • Mr. Jun Nagayasu

Abstract

This paper empirically analyzes Japanese long-run exchange rates from several perspectives. Several exchange rate models are considered, including the purchasing power parity, the real interest differential model, and the hybrid models à la Hooper and Morton (1982). A notable feature of the latter models is that the current accounts are introduced as determinants of the exchange rates; one type of hybrid model uses the actual current account, and the other the optimal current account, which is calculated using the present value model suggested by Campbell and Shiller (1988). The paper finds that the long-run specification is sensitive to the specification of the model.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Jun Nagayasu, 1998. "Japanese Effective Exchange Rates and Determinants: Prices, Real Interest Rates, and Actual and Optimal Current Accounts," IMF Working Papers 1998/086, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:1998/086
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    Cited by:

    1. Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015. "Wave function method to forecast foreign currencies exchange rates at ultra high frequency electronic trading in foreign currencies exchange markets," MPRA Paper 67470, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Muhammad Arshad Khan & Muhammad Zabir Sajjid, 2005. "The Exchange Rates and Monetary Dynamics in Pakistan: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Approach," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 10(2), pages 87-99, Jul-Dec.
    3. Sugata Ghosh & Iannis A. Mourmouras & Sarmistha Pal & Ivan Paya, 2003. "On Public Investment, the Real Exchange Rate and Growth: Some Empirical Evidence from the UK and the USA," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 71(3), pages 242-264, June.

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