IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hhs/iuiwop/0635.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Exposure-based Cash-Flow-at-Risk under Macroeconomic Uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • Andrén, Niclas

    (Department of Business Administration)

  • Jankensgård, Håkan

    (The Research Institute of Industrial Economics)

  • Oxelheim, Lars

    (The Research Institute of Industrial Economics)

Abstract

In this paper we derive an exposure-based measure of Cash-Flow-at-Risk (CFaR). Existing approaches to calculating CFaR either only focus on cash flow conditional on market changes or neglect market-risk exposures entirely. We argue here that an essential first step in a risk-management program is to quantify cash-flow exposure to macroeconomic and market risk. This is the information relevant for corporate hedging. However, it is the total level of cash flow in relation to the firm’s capital needs that is the information relevant for decision-making. The firm’s overall CFaR is then calculated based on an assessment of corporate risk exposure.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrén, Niclas & Jankensgård, Håkan & Oxelheim, Lars, 2005. "Exposure-based Cash-Flow-at-Risk under Macroeconomic Uncertainty," Working Paper Series 635, Research Institute of Industrial Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:hhs:iuiwop:0635
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.ifn.se/Wfiles/wp/WP635.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Tarek Ibrahim Eldomiaty & Mohamed Hashem Rashwan & Mohamed Bahaa El Din & Waleed Tayel, 2016. "Firm, industry and economic determinants of working capital at risk," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(04), pages 1-29, December.
    2. Hsia Hua Sheng & Cristiane Karcher & Paulo Hubert Jr., 2009. "An Alternative Model of Risk in Non-financial Companies Applied to the Brazilian Pulp and Paper Industry," Brazilian Review of Finance, Brazilian Society of Finance, vol. 7(3), pages 347-360.
    3. Kuti, Mónika, 2011. "Cash Flow at Risk, Financial Flexibility and Financing Constraint," Public Finance Quarterly, Corvinus University of Budapest, vol. 56(4), pages 505-517.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cash-Flow-at Risk; Corporate Hedging; Downside Risk; Risk Exposure; MUST-analysis; Value-at-Risk;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business
    • G30 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - General
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • M21 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Business Economics - - - Business Economics

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hhs:iuiwop:0635. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Elisabeth Gustafsson (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/iuiiise.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.