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Tunga trender i den globala utvecklingen

  • Malmberg, Bo


    (Institute for Futures Studies)

  • Sommestad, Lena


Registered author(s):

    Huvudsyftet med denna rapport är att identifiera vilka ”tunga trender” som kommer att prägla samhällsutvecklingen under 2000-talet. Metodiskt har vi valt att utnyttja en demografisk förklaringsansats. På basis av befolkningsprognoser som visar förskjutningar i den globala åldersstrukturen, konstruerar vi prognoser över förväntad inkomstutveckling i olika delar av världen år fram till år 2050. Dessa prognoser utgör, enligt vår uppfattning, det basscenario, som varje framtidsdiskussion måste förhålla sig till. I rapporten diskuteras vidare vad de globala demografiska och ekonomiska trenderna kan komma att betyda ur ett miljöperspektiv. Dels analyseras möjliga samband mellan åldersstruktur, inkomstnivå och miljöpåverkan, dels försöker vi identifiera centrala utmaningar för 2000-talets miljöarbete.

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    Paper provided by Institute for Futures Studies in its series Arbetsrapport with number 2000:2.

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    Length: 37 pages
    Date of creation: Sep 2000
    Handle: RePEc:hhs:ifswps:2000_002
    Note: ISBN 91-89655-09-5
    Contact details of provider: Postal:
    Institute for Futures Studies, Box 591, SE-101 31 Stockholm, Sweden

    Phone: 08-402 12 00
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