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Tunga trender i den globala utvecklingen

Author

Listed:
  • Malmberg, Bo

    () (Institute for Futures Studies)

  • Sommestad, Lena

    (Miljödepartementet)

Abstract

Huvudsyftet med denna rapport är att identifiera vilka ”tunga trender” som kommer att prägla samhällsutvecklingen under 2000-talet. Metodiskt har vi valt att utnyttja en demografisk förklaringsansats. På basis av befolkningsprognoser som visar förskjutningar i den globala åldersstrukturen, konstruerar vi prognoser över förväntad inkomstutveckling i olika delar av världen år fram till år 2050. Dessa prognoser utgör, enligt vår uppfattning, det basscenario, som varje framtidsdiskussion måste förhålla sig till. I rapporten diskuteras vidare vad de globala demografiska och ekonomiska trenderna kan komma att betyda ur ett miljöperspektiv. Dels analyseras möjliga samband mellan åldersstruktur, inkomstnivå och miljöpåverkan, dels försöker vi identifiera centrala utmaningar för 2000-talets miljöarbete.

Suggested Citation

  • Malmberg, Bo & Sommestad, Lena, 2000. "Tunga trender i den globala utvecklingen," Arbetsrapport 2000:2, Institute for Futures Studies.
  • Handle: RePEc:hhs:ifswps:2000_002
    Note: ISBN 91-89655-09-5
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Westholm, Erik, 2004. "Modes of re-territorialisation. Spatial implications of regional competition politics in Sweden," Arbetsrapport 2004:4, Institute for Futures Studies.
    2. Lindh, Thomas & Malmberg, Bo, 2002. "Swedish post-war economic development. The role of age structure in a welfare state," Arbetsrapport 2003:4, Institute for Futures Studies.
    3. Westholm, Erik, 2003. "Leaving Rurality Behind. Re-orientation of spatial policies in Sweden," Arbetsrapport 2003:12, Institute for Futures Studies.
    4. Ström, Sara, 2005. "Childbearing and psycho-social work life conditions in Sweden 1991-2000," Arbetsrapport 2005:13, Institute for Futures Studies.
    5. Rydell, Ingrid, 2002. "Demographic Patterns from the 1960s in France, Italy, Spain and Portugal," Arbetsrapport 2003:2, Institute for Futures Studies.
    6. Duvander, Ann-Zofie & Ferrarini, Tommy & Thalberg, Sara, 2005. "Swedish parental leave and gender equality - Achievements and reform challenges in a European perspective," Arbetsrapport 2005:11, Institute for Futures Studies.
    7. Bäckman, Olof, 2005. "Welfare States, Social Structure and the Dynamics of Poverty Rates. A comparative study of 16 countries, 1980-2000," Arbetsrapport 2005:7, Institute for Futures Studies.
    8. Thalberg, Sara, 2003. "Demographic Patterns in Europe. A review of Austria, Germany, The Netherlands, Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania," Arbetsrapport 2003:8, Institute for Futures Studies.
    9. Lundqvist, Torbjörn, 2005. "The Employers in the Swedish Model The Importance of Labour Market Competition and Organisation," Arbetsrapport 2005:2, Institute for Futures Studies.
    10. Blomquist, Sören & Christiansen, Vidar, 2004. "Welfare Enhancing Marginal Tax Rates: The Case of Publicly Provided Day Care," Arbetsrapport 2004:6, Institute for Futures Studies.
    11. Hong, Ying & Corman, Diana, 2005. "Women´s Return to Work after First Birth in Sweden during 1980-2000," Arbetsrapport 2005:19, Institute for Futures Studies.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    trender; samhällsutvecklingen; 2000-talet;

    JEL classification:

    • A00 - General Economics and Teaching - - General - - - General

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