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Comparison and one-stop shopping after big-box retail entry: A spatial difference-in-difference analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Han, Mengije

    (Dalarna University)

  • Mihaescu, Oana

    (HUI Research)

  • Li, Yujiau

    (Dalarna University)

  • Rudholm, Niklas

    (HUI Research)

Abstract

This paper empirically measures the potential spillover effects of big-box retail entry on the productivity of incumbent retailers in the entry regions, and investigates whether the effects differ depending on 1) if the entry is in a rural or urban area, and 2) if the incumbent retailers are within retail industries selling substitute or complement goods to those found in IKEA. To identify the IKEA-entry effect, a difference-in-difference model is suitable, but traditionally such estimators neglect the possibility that firms’ sales are determined by a process with spatially interactive responses. If ignored, these responses may cause biased estimates of the IKEA entry effect due to spatial heterogeneity of the treatment effect. One objective of this paper is thus to propose a spatial difference-in-difference estimator accounting for possible spatial spillover effects of IKEA entry. Particular emphasis is placed on the development of a suitable weight matrix accounting for the spatial links between firms, where we allow for local spatial interactions such that the outcome of observed units depends both on their own treatment as well as on the treatment of their neighbors. Our results show that for complementary goods retailers (or onestop shopping retailers) in Haparanda and Kalmar, productivity increased by 38% and 19%, respectively, due to IKEA entry. No statistically significant effects were found for the entries in Karlstad and Gothenburg, indicating that it is mainly incumbents in smaller entry regions that benefit from IKEA entry. Also, for incumbent retailers selling substitute (or comparison shopping) goods no significant effects were found in any of the entry regions, indicating that it is mainly retailers selling complementary goods that benefit from IKEA entry. Finally, our results also show that ignoring the possibility of spatially correlated treatment effects in the regression models reduces the estimated impact of the IKEA entries in Haparanda and Kalmar on productivity in one-stop shopping retail firms with 3 and 0.6 percentage points, respectively.

Suggested Citation

  • Han, Mengije & Mihaescu, Oana & Li, Yujiau & Rudholm, Niklas, 2017. "Comparison and one-stop shopping after big-box retail entry: A spatial difference-in-difference analysis," HUI Working Papers 123, HUI Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:hhs:huiwps:0123
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    1. is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Rudholm, Niklas & Li, Yuijao & Kenneth, Carling, 2018. "How Does Big-Box Entry Affect Labor Productivity in Durable Goods Retailing? A Synthetic Control Approach," HUI Working Papers 130, HUI Research.
    3. Grimmer, Louise, 2021. "Drivers and barriers for city shopping: Perspectives from retailers and consumers in regional Australia," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    4. Oana Mihaescu & Martin Korpi & Özge Öner, 2024. "Does new shopping centre development benefit or harm the local suburban market? Heterogeneous effects from shopping centre type and distance," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 73(3), pages 1339-1363, October.
    5. Nilsson, Helena, 2020. "IKEA entry - Effects on firms in retail and hospitality," HFI Working Papers 11, Institute of Retail Economics (Handelns Forskningsinstitut).
    6. Yujiao Li & Johan Håkansson & Oana Mihaescu & Niklas Rudholm, 2019. "Agglomeration economies in urban retailing: are there productivity spillovers when big-box retailers enter urban markets?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(19), pages 1586-1589, November.
    7. Olga Demidova, 2021. "Methods of spatial econometrics and evaluation of government programs effectiveness," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 64, pages 107-134.
    8. Daunfeldt, Sven-Olov & Mihaescu, Oana & Öner, Özge & Rudholm, Niklas, 2019. "Retail and place attractiveness: The effects of big-box entry on property values," HFI Working Papers 1, Institute of Retail Economics (Handelns Forskningsinstitut).
    9. repec:hal:journl:hal-04549691 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Lindgren, Charlie & Li, Yujiao & Rudholm, Niklas, 2020. "Why do firms compete on price comparison websites? The impact on productivity, profits, and wages," HFI Working Papers 14, Institute of Retail Economics (Handelns Forskningsinstitut).
    11. Chung, Hwan & Kim, Min, 2025. "Winners and Losers: Store-Type and regional variations in response to mandatory retail closures," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    12. Wu, Xianhua & Tian, Zhiqing & Kuai, Yun & Song, Shunfeng & Marson, Stephen M., 2022. "Study on spatial correlation of air pollution and control effect of development plan for the city cluster in the Yangtze River Delta," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    13. Mihaescu, Oana & Korpi, Martin & Öner, Özge, 2020. "Are new shopping centers drivers of development in large metropolitan suburbs? The interplay of agglomeration and competition forces," HFI Working Papers 9, Institute of Retail Economics (Handelns Forskningsinstitut).
    14. Sven-Olov Daunfeldt & Oana Mihaescu & Niklas Rudholm, 2022. "The Decline of Small Cities: Increased Competition from External Shopping Malls or Long-Term Negative Trends?," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 45(2), pages 225-257, March.
    15. Jiafeng Gu, 2024. "The impact of national tourism day festivals on inbound tourism: A spatial difference-in-differences approach," Tourism Economics, , vol. 30(2), pages 417-441, March.
    16. Niklas Rudholm & Yujiao Li & Kenneth Carling, 2022. "How does big-box retail entry affect labor productivity in durable goods retailing? A synthetic control approach," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 69(1), pages 89-117, August.
    17. Boulhosa Inês & Casais Beatriz, 2019. "Motivations for Tourism Shopping in Department Stores: An Exploratory Research about Tourists’ Profiles Visiting El Corte Inglés Gaia," European Journal of Tourism, Hospitality and Recreation, Sciendo, vol. 9(1), pages 18-26, May.
    18. Zhang, Shaopeng & Wang, Xiaohong, 2022. "Does innovative city construction improve the industry–university–research knowledge flow in urban China?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    19. Romero, Jaime & Cruz-Roche, Ignacio & Charron, Jean-Philippe, 2020. "The myth of price convergence under economic integration: A proposed explanation for the difference in food prices across European countries," European Management Journal, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 267-276.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • D22 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
    • L11 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Production, Pricing, and Market Structure; Size Distribution of Firms
    • L25 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Firm Performance
    • L26 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Entrepreneurship
    • P25 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Socialist and Transition Economies - - - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics

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