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Funding Constraints and Market Illiquidity in the European Treasury Bond Market

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  • Sophie Moinas

    (TSE-R - Toulouse School of Economics - UT Capitole - Université Toulouse Capitole - Comue de Toulouse - Communauté d'universités et établissements de Toulouse - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement, TSM - Toulouse School of Management Research - UT Capitole - Université Toulouse Capitole - Comue de Toulouse - Communauté d'universités et établissements de Toulouse - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - TSM - Toulouse School of Management - UT Capitole - Université Toulouse Capitole - Comue de Toulouse - Communauté d'universités et établissements de Toulouse)

  • Hoang Minh Hai Nguyen

    (Newcastle University Business School)

  • Giorgio Valente

    (Hong Kong Monetary Authority)

Abstract

Theoretical studies show that shocks to funding constraints should affect and be affected by market illiquidity. However, little is known about the empirical magnitude of such responses because of the intrinsic endogeneity of illiquidity shocks. This paper adopts an identification technique based on the heteroskedasticity of illiquidity proxies to infer the reaction of one measure to shocks affecting the other. Using data for the European Treasury bond market, we find evidence that funding illiquidity shocks affect bond market illiquidity and of a weaker simultaneous feedback reverse. We also investigate the determinants of the magnitude of these effects in the cross-section of bonds and find that the responses of individual bonds' market illiquidity to funding illiquidity shocks increase with bond duration, with the credit risk of the issuer, and with haircuts.

Suggested Citation

  • Sophie Moinas & Hoang Minh Hai Nguyen & Giorgio Valente, 2026. "Funding Constraints and Market Illiquidity in the European Treasury Bond Market," Working Papers hal-05485524, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-05485524
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-05485524v1
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    2. Jason Allen & Milena Wittwer, 2023. "Centralizing Over-the-Counter Markets?," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 131(12), pages 3310-3351.
    3. Panagiotis Panagiotou & Xu Jiang & Angel Gavilan, 2023. "The determinants of liquidity commonality in the Euro-area sovereign bond market," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(10), pages 1144-1186, July.
    4. Louisa Chen & Liya Shen & Zhiping Zhou, 2023. "Understand funding liquidity and market liquidity in a regime‐switching model," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 589-605, January.
    5. Nguyen, Minh, 2020. "Collateral haircuts and bond yields in the European government bond markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    6. Deuskar, Prachi & Johnson, Timothy C., 2021. "Funding liquidity and market liquidity in government bonds," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    7. Bachmann, Manuel, 2018. "Market Illiquidity, Credit Freezes and Endogenous Funding Constraints," Department of Economics Working Paper Series 255, WU Vienna University of Economics and Business.
    8. Manuel Bachmann, 2018. "Market Illiquidity, Credit Freezes and Endogenous Funding Constraints," Department of Economics Working Papers wuwp255, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Department of Economics.
    9. Krohn, Ingomar & Sushko, Vladyslav, 2022. "FX spot and swap market liquidity spillovers," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).

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