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Funding Constraints and Market Illiquidity in the European Treasury Bond Market

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  • Sophie Moinas

    (TSE-R - Toulouse School of Economics - UT Capitole - Université Toulouse Capitole - Comue de Toulouse - Communauté d'universités et établissements de Toulouse - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement, TSM - Toulouse School of Management Research - UT Capitole - Université Toulouse Capitole - Comue de Toulouse - Communauté d'universités et établissements de Toulouse - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - TSM - Toulouse School of Management - UT Capitole - Université Toulouse Capitole - Comue de Toulouse - Communauté d'universités et établissements de Toulouse)

  • Hoang Minh Hai Nguyen

    (Newcastle University Business School)

  • Giorgio Valente

    (Hong Kong Monetary Authority)

Abstract

Theoretical studies show that shocks to funding constraints should affect and be affected by market illiquidity. However, little is known about the empirical magnitude of such responses because of the intrinsic endogeneity of illiquidity shocks. This paper adopts an identification technique based on the heteroskedasticity of illiquidity proxies to infer the reaction of one measure to shocks affecting the other. Using data for the European Treasury bond market, we find evidence that funding illiquidity shocks affect bond market illiquidity and of a weaker simultaneous feedback reverse. We also investigate the determinants of the magnitude of these effects in the cross-section of bonds and find that the responses of individual bonds' market illiquidity to funding illiquidity shocks increase with bond duration, with the credit risk of the issuer, and with haircuts.

Suggested Citation

  • Sophie Moinas & Hoang Minh Hai Nguyen & Giorgio Valente, 2026. "Funding Constraints and Market Illiquidity in the European Treasury Bond Market," Working Papers hal-05485524, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-05485524
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-05485524v1
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