IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/hal/wpaper/hal-04675352.html

Left over or opting out? Squeeze, mismatch and surplus in Chinese marriage markets

Author

Listed:
  • Pauline Rossi

    (CREST - Centre de Recherche en Économie et Statistique - ENSAI - Ecole Nationale de la Statistique et de l'Analyse de l'Information [Bruz] - Groupe ENSAE-ENSAI - Groupe des Écoles Nationales d'Économie et Statistique - X - École polytechnique - IP Paris - Institut Polytechnique de Paris - ENSAE Paris - École Nationale de la Statistique et de l'Administration Économique - Groupe ENSAE-ENSAI - Groupe des Écoles Nationales d'Économie et Statistique - IP Paris - Institut Polytechnique de Paris - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, X - École polytechnique - IP Paris - Institut Polytechnique de Paris, IP Paris - Institut Polytechnique de Paris)

  • Yun Xiao

    (GU - Göteborgs Universitet = University of Gothenburg)

Abstract

Marriage is declining in China. Among singles, the probability to marry in 2019 was twice as low as in 1999. We estimate a Choo and Siow (2006b) model using census data to quantify the relative roles of changes in population structure and changes in marital surplus, i.e., value of marriage. We find that the increase in the supply of educated people explains half of the decline, partly due to a mismatch between educated women and less-educated men. The deterioration of female-to-male ratio, known as the marriage squeeze, explains an additional 18% for men. The decrease in surplus explains the rest.

Suggested Citation

  • Pauline Rossi & Yun Xiao, 2024. "Left over or opting out? Squeeze, mismatch and surplus in Chinese marriage markets," Working Papers hal-04675352, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-04675352
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-04675352v1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://hal.science/hal-04675352v1/document
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Paula Eugenia Gobbi & Anne Hannusch & Pauline Rossi, 2025. "Family Institutions and the Global Fertility Transition," Working Papers ECARES 2025-14, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    3. Paula E. Gobbi & Anne Hannusch & Pauline Rossi, 2026. "Family Institutions and the Global Fertility Transition," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2025_726, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    4. Lucie Giorgi & Eva Raiber, 2025. "For Better or for Babies: Fertility Constraints and Marriage in China," Working Papers hal-05273466, HAL.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-04675352. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CCSD (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.