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Labour Supply and Labour Force Participation in Europe – A Discussion of Some Recent Developments and Projections

Author

Listed:
  • Odile Chagny

    (OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po, Centre Etudes & Prospective - Groupe ALPHA)

  • Jörg Döpke
  • Mathieu Plane

    (OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po)

  • Rainer Schmidt

    (Kiel Institute for the World Economy - Kiel Institute for the World Economy)

Abstract

The prospects for labour supply in Europe are considered. The analysis begins with a so-called labour market balance covering the development on an aggregate level. Estimations to shed light on the relation between unemployment and labour force participation are given in the second part of the paper. Detailed analyses of the forces behind the participation rates for individual countries and labour force projections are given. We expect the labour force in Europe to decline during the next years. However, the impact of this development on unemployment is rather limited.

Suggested Citation

  • Odile Chagny & Jörg Döpke & Mathieu Plane & Rainer Schmidt, 2001. "Labour Supply and Labour Force Participation in Europe – A Discussion of Some Recent Developments and Projections," Working Papers hal-03458548, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-03458548
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://sciencespo.hal.science/hal-03458548
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    Cited by:

    1. Odile Chagny & Jörg Döpke, 2001. "Measures of the Output Gap in the Euro-Zone: An Empirical Assessment of Selected Methods," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 70(3), pages 310-332.
    2. Elke Holst & C. Katharina Spieß, 2004. "The Transition into Work: Specialities for the Hidden Labour Force," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 428, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    3. Michael Siegenthaler & Michael Graff & Massimo Mannino, 2013. "Die neue Schätzung des schweizerischen Erwerbspersonenpotenzials an der KOF," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 7(4), pages 45-56, December.
    4. Benner, Joachim & Borbély, Dóra & Boss, Alfred & Kamps, Annette & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Oskamp, Frank & Scheide, Joachim & Schmidt, Rainer, 2003. "Deutschland: Stagnation hält vorerst an," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 2984, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    5. Gian Luigi Mazzi & Frédéric Reynès & Matthieu Lemoine & Paola Veroni, 2008. "Real Time Estimation of Potential Output and Output Gap for the Euro-Area : Comparing Production Function with Unobserved Components and SVAR Approaches," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-01027422, HAL.
    6. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/7349 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. repec:spo:wpecon:info:hdl:2441/7349 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Fuchs, Johann & Weber, Brigitte, 2010. "Umfang und Struktur der westdeutschen Stillen Reserve : Aktualisierte Schätzungen (Extent and structure of the hidden labour force in Western German)," IAB-Forschungsbericht 201011, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    9. repec:hal:wpspec:info:hdl:2441/7349 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Fuchs, Johann & Weber, Brigitte, 2021. "Neue Schätzungen für die Stille Reserve - erstmalig Anwendung des IAB-Konzepts auf Gesamtdeutschland," IAB-Forschungsbericht 202106, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C2 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables
    • J0 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - General
    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics

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