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Real exchanges rates in commodity producing countries : A reappraisal

Author

Listed:
  • Vincent Bodart

    (Solvay - Solvay)

  • Bertrand Candelon

    (Economics - Maastricht University [Maastricht])

  • Jean - François Carpantier

    ()

Abstract

Commodity currency literature recently stressed the importance of commodity prices as a determinant of real exchange rates in developing countries (Cashin, Cespedes and Sahay 2004). We provide new empirical evidence on this issue by focusing on countries which are specialized in the ex-port of one leading commodity. For those countries, we investigate to which extent their real exchange rate is sensitive to price fluctuations of their dominant commodity. By using non-stationary panel techniques robust to cross-sectional-dependence, we find that the price of the dominant commodity has a significant long-run impact on the real exchange rate when the exports of the leading commodity have a share of at least 20 percent in the country's total exports of merchandises. Our results also show that the larger the share, the larger the size of the impact.

Suggested Citation

  • Vincent Bodart & Bertrand Candelon & Jean - François Carpantier, 2011. "Real exchanges rates in commodity producing countries : A reappraisal," Working Papers hal-01821152, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:hal-01821152
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01821152
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Arezki, Rabah & Dumitrescu, Elena & Freytag, Andreas & Quintyn, Marc, 2014. "Commodity prices and exchange rate volatility: Lessons from South Africa's capital account liberalization," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 96-105.
    2. Gnimassoun, Blaise & Joëts, Marc & Razafindrabe, Tovonony, 2017. "On the link between current account and oil price fluctuations in diversified economies: The case of Canada," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 63-78.
    3. repec:dug:journl:y:2017:i:2:p:145-158 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Vincent Bodart & Jean-François Carpantier, 2019. "Currency Collapses and Output Dynamics in Commodity Dependent Countries," Discussion Papers (IRES - Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales) 2019011, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    5. Coudert, Virginie & Couharde, Cécile & Mignon, Valérie, 2015. "On the impact of volatility on the real exchange rate – terms of trade nexus: Revisiting commodity currencies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 110-127.
    6. Bodart, Vincent & Candelon, Bertrand & Carpantier, Jean-Francois, 2015. "Real exchanges rates, commodity prices and structural factors in developing countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 264-284.
    7. Michel Beine & Serge Coulombe & Wessel N. Vermeulen, 2015. "Dutch Disease and the Mitigation Effect of Migration: Evidence from Canadian Provinces," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 125(589), pages 1574-1615, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    real exchange rates; commodity prices; non-stationary panel;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements

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