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Estimation of time-varying ARMA models with Markovian changes in regime

Author

Listed:
  • Christian Francq

    (CREST - Centre de Recherche en Économie et Statistique - ENSAI - Ecole Nationale de la Statistique et de l'Analyse de l'Information [Bruz] - Groupe ENSAE-ENSAI - Groupe des Écoles Nationales d'Économie et Statistique - X - École polytechnique - IP Paris - Institut Polytechnique de Paris - ENSAE Paris - École Nationale de la Statistique et de l'Administration Économique - Groupe ENSAE-ENSAI - Groupe des Écoles Nationales d'Économie et Statistique - IP Paris - Institut Polytechnique de Paris - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, IP Paris - Institut Polytechnique de Paris)

  • Antony Gautier

Abstract

In this paper, we consider the estimation of time-varying ARMA models subject to Markovian changes in regime. We give explicit conditions ensuring consistency and asymptotic normality, as well as the limiting covariance matrix, of least squares and quasi-generalized least-squares estimators.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Christian Francq & Antony Gautier, 2004. "Estimation of time-varying ARMA models with Markovian changes in regime," Post-Print hal-05431377, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-05431377
    DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2004.10.009
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    Cited by:

    1. Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara & Landy Rabehasaina, 2020. "Estimation of weak ARMA models with regime changes," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 23(1), pages 1-52, April.
    2. Nazim Regnard & Jean‐Michel Zakoïan, 2010. "Structure and estimation of a class of nonstationary yet nonexplosive GARCH models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(5), pages 348-364, September.
    3. Karanasos, Menelaos & Paraskevopoulos,Alexandros & Canepa, Alessandra, 2020. "Unified Theory for the Large Family of Time Varying Models with Arma Representations: One Solution Fits All," Department of Economics and Statistics Cognetti de Martiis. Working Papers 202008, University of Turin.
    4. repec:dau:papers:123456789/2285 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Mélard, Guy, 2022. "An indirect proof for the asymptotic properties of VARMA model estimators," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 96-111.
    6. Regnard, Nazim & Zakoïan, Jean-Michel, 2011. "A conditionally heteroskedastic model with time-varying coefficients for daily gas spot prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 1240-1251.
    7. Rajae Azrak & Guy Melard, 2017. "Autoregressive Models with Time-dependent Coefficients. A comparison between Several Approaches," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2017-48, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    8. Guy Mélard & Marcella Niglio, 2026. "Another approach for the asymptotic properties of threshold vector ARMA models," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 35(1), pages 1-22, March.
    9. Rajae Azrak & Guy Mélard, 2022. "Autoregressive Models with Time-Dependent Coefficients—A Comparison between Several Approaches," Stats, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-21, August.
    10. Quentin Giai Gianetto & Hamdi Raïssi, 2015. "Testing Instantaneous Causality in Presence of Nonconstant Unconditional Covariance," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(1), pages 46-53, January.
    11. Landy Rabehasaina & Jae-Kyung Woo, 2020. "Analysis of the infinite server queues with semi-Markovian multivariate discounted inputs," Queueing Systems: Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 94(3), pages 393-420, April.
    12. repec:dau:papers:123456789/5529 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Guy Melard, 2020. "An Indirect Proof for the Asymptotic Properties of VARMA Model Estimators," Working Papers ECARES 2020-10, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    14. repec:dau:papers:123456789/2603 is not listed on IDEAS

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