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Model Uncertainty in Climate Change Economics: A Review and Proposed Framework for Future Research

Author

Listed:
  • Loïc Berger

    (CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, IÉSEG School Of Management [Puteaux], EIEE - European Institute on Economics and the Environment, CMCC - Centro Euro-Mediterraneo per i Cambiamenti Climatici [Bologna])

  • Massimo Marinacci

    (Bocconi University [Milan, Italy])

Abstract

We review recent models of choices under uncertainty that have been proposed in the economic literature. In particular, we show how different concepts and methods of economic decision theory can be directly useful for problems in environmental economics. The framework we propose is general and can be applied in many different fields of environmental economics. To illustrate, we provide a simple application in the context of an optimal mitigation policy under climate change.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Loïc Berger & Massimo Marinacci, 2020. "Model Uncertainty in Climate Change Economics: A Review and Proposed Framework for Future Research," Post-Print hal-03031728, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03031728
    DOI: 10.1007/s10640-020-00503-3
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Stanca, Lorenzo, 2023. "Robust Bayesian choice," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 94-106.
    2. Ilke Aydogan & Loïc Berger & Valentina Bosetti & Ning Liu, 2023. "Three Layers of Uncertainty," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 21(5), pages 2209-2236.
    3. Tørstad, Vegard & Wiborg, Vegard, 2023. "Commitment Ambiguity and Ambition in Climate Pledges," Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation, Working Paper Series qt7gd693zp, Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation, University of California.
    4. repec:hal:journl:hal-03031751 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Bose, Subir & Daripa, Arup, 2023. "Eliciting second-order beliefs," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    6. Anderson, Robert M. & Duanmu, Haosui & Ghosh, Aniruddha & Khan, M. Ali, 2024. "On existence of Berk-Nash equilibria in misspecified Markov decision processes with infinite spaces," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    7. Eddai, Nahed & Guerdjikova, Ani, 2023. "To mitigate or to adapt: How to deal with optimism, pessimism and strategic ambiguity?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 1-30.
    8. Nahed Eddai & Ani Guerdjikova, 2023. "To mitigate or to adapt: how to deal with optimism, pessimism and strategic ambiguity?," Post-Print hal-03590990, HAL.
    9. Ongsakul, Viput & Papangkorn, Suwongrat & Jiraporn, Pornsit, 2023. "Estimating the effect of climate change exposure on firm value using climate policy uncertainty: A text-based approach," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    10. Louis Soumoy & Jules Welgryn, 2025. "Derisking Electricity Prices For Decarbonisation: A novel perspective on market incompleteness through irreversibility," EconomiX Working Papers 2025-37, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    11. Dong Yan & Charles Sims, 2025. "Irreversible Adaptation and Knightian Climate Uncertainty," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 88(3), pages 681-707, March.
    12. Ceron, Federica & Vergopoulos, Vassili, 2022. "Objective rationality and recursive multiple priors," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    13. Xepapadeas, Anastasios, 2024. "Uncertainty and climate change: The IPCC approach vs decision theory," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    14. Stanca Lorenzo, 2023. "Robust Bayesian Choice," Working papers 079, Department of Economics, Social Studies, Applied Mathematics and Statistics (Dipartimento di Scienze Economico-Sociali e Matematico-Statistiche), University of Torino.
    15. Marco Carli, 2025. "Green Ambiguity," CEIS Research Paper 591, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 05 Feb 2025.
    16. Lorenzo Stanca, 2023. "Robust Bayesian Choice," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 690 JEL Classification: C, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
    17. Svenn Jensen & Christian P. Traeger & Christian Träger, 2021. "Pricing Climate Risk," CESifo Working Paper Series 9196, CESifo.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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