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How Borrowing Constraints Hinder Migration: Theoretical Insights from a Random Utility Maximization Model

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  • Léa Marchal

    (LEM - Lille économie management - UMR 9221 - UA - Université d'Artois - UCL - Université catholique de Lille - ULCO - Université du Littoral Côte d'Opale - Université de Lille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Claire Naiditch

    (EQUIPPE - Economie Quantitative, Intégration, Politiques Publiques et Econométrie - Université de Lille, Sciences et Technologies - Université de Lille, Sciences Humaines et Sociales - PRES Université Lille Nord de France - Université de Lille, Droit et Santé, LEM - Lille économie management - UMR 9221 - UA - Université d'Artois - UCL - Université catholique de Lille - ULCO - Université du Littoral Côte d'Opale - Université de Lille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

We provide a theoretical framework to analyze how financial constraints hinder migration. Introducing wealth heterogeneity and borrowing constraints into a random utility maximization model of migration, we find evidence of multilateral resistance to migration stemming from borrowing constraints. We calibrate the model on 22 European countries, and we show that omitting the constraints biases upward the estimation of bilateral migration rates. We then simulate an increase in the bilateral cost of migration to the United Kingdom. We find that omitting the constraints biases downward the change entailed by the cost increase in the bilateral rates of migration to all destinations.

Suggested Citation

  • Léa Marchal & Claire Naiditch, 2019. "How Borrowing Constraints Hinder Migration: Theoretical Insights from a Random Utility Maximization Model," Post-Print hal-02498160, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02498160
    DOI: 10.1111/sjoe.12355
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    Cited by:

    1. Marchal, Léa & Naiditch, Claire & Simsek, Betül, 2021. "Managing Migration Flows Through Foreign Aid," ILE Working Paper Series 46, University of Hamburg, Institute of Law and Economics.
    2. Lea Marchal & Claire Naiditch & Betul Simsek, 2022. "How Foreign Aid Affects Migration: Quantifying Transmission Channels," EGEIWP 02-2022, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza - Università degli Studi di Bari "Aldo Moro", revised Jan 2023.
    3. Lars Ludolph & Barbora Šedová, 2021. "Global food prices, local weather and migration in Sub-Saharan Africa," CEPA Discussion Papers 26, Center for Economic Policy Analysis.
    4. Léa Marchal & Claire Naiditch & Betül Simsek, 2025. "Aid as a Migration Policy Tool," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 25015, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
    5. Lucas Guichard & Joël Machado, 2025. "The externalities of immigration policies on migration flows: the case of an asylum policy," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 25(1), pages 59-74.
    6. Ludolph, Lars & Sedova, Barbora, 2021. "Global food prices, local weather and migration in Sub-Saharan Africa," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242334, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    7. Albert MILLOGO & Ines TROJETTE & Nicolas PÉRIDY, 2021. "Are government policies efficient to regulate immigration? Evidence from France," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 53, pages 23-49.
    8. Marina-Selini Katsaiti & Maroula Khraiche, 2023. "Does access to credit alter migration intentions?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(4), pages 1823-1854, October.
    9. Bertoli, Simone & Moraga, Jesús Fernández-Huertas & Guichard, Lucas, 2020. "Rational inattention and migration decisions," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).

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