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The Real Exchange Rate and External Competitiveness in Egypt, Morocco and Tunisia

Author

Listed:
  • Zuzana Brixiova
  • Balázs Égert

    (EconomiX - EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Essid Thouraya Hadj Amor

Abstract

Egypt, Morocco and Tunisia face challenges competing on the global markets, as shown by their relatively low and stagnant export shares. The limited export competitiveness has hampered external demand, growth and employment. Applying, for the first time to North Africa, the stock-flow approach to the real equilibrium exchange rate, this paper evaluates the countries' real exchange rate misalignments during the past three decades. While Egypt experienced periods of substantial misalignment, including in recent years, the exchange rates in Morocco and Tunisia have broadly reflected the underlying fundamentals. In all three countries structural factors are key to boosting exports, alongside of avoiding sizeable future misalignments. Intra-regional trade – both with North Africa and the rest of the continent – together with greater orientation to fast growing emerging markets could also raise countries' external competitiveness.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Zuzana Brixiova & Balázs Égert & Essid Thouraya Hadj Amor, 2014. "The Real Exchange Rate and External Competitiveness in Egypt, Morocco and Tunisia," Post-Print hal-01386042, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01386042
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    Cited by:

    1. Nagayasu, Jun, 2015. "Global and country-specific factors in real effective exchange rates," MPRA Paper 64217, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Nagayasu, Jun, 2016. "Commonality and Heterogeneity in Real Effective Exchange Rates: Evidence from Advanced and Developing Countries," MPRA Paper 70078, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Chahir Zaki & Alia Abdallah & May Sami, 2019. "How Do Trade Margins Respond to Exchange Rate? The Case of Egypt," Journal of African Trade, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 60-80, December.
    4. Muhammad Riyadh Ghozali Lubis & Noor Al-Huda Abdul Karim & Gan Pei Tha & Norimah Rambeli & Ramli, 2017. "Exchange Rate Effect on Gross Domestic Product in the Five Founding Members of ASEAN," International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, vol. 7(11), pages 1284-1293, November.
    5. Amor, Thouraya Hadj & Nouira, Ridha & Rault, Christophe & Sova, Anamaria Diana, 2023. "Real exchange rate misalignments and economic growth in Tunisia: New evidence from a threshold analysis of asymmetric adjustments," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 215-227.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F63 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Economic Development
    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
    • O1 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development

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