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A demographic dividend for Sub-Saharan Africa: Source, Magnitude, and Realization

Author

Listed:
  • David E. Bloom

    (Harvard School of Public Health)

  • Salal Humair

    (Harvard School of Public Health)

  • Larry Rosenberg

    (Harvard School of Public Health)

  • JP Sevilla

    (George Mason School of Law)

  • James Trussell

    (Office of Population Research, Princeton University and the Hull York Medical School)

Abstract

The demographic dividend – the one-time economic bonus that can arise, if conditions are right, from a decline in fertility rates – could matter a lot for Sub-Saharan Africa. Rapid population growth will doubtless bring great challenges, but lower fertility rates could usher in a higher share of working-age people in the population and thus, potentially, enormous economic benefits for the region.

Suggested Citation

  • David E. Bloom & Salal Humair & Larry Rosenberg & JP Sevilla & James Trussell, 2013. "A demographic dividend for Sub-Saharan Africa: Source, Magnitude, and Realization," PGDA Working Papers 11013, Program on the Global Demography of Aging.
    • Handle: RePEc:gdm:wpaper:11013
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    File URL: http://www.hsph.harvard.edu/pgda/WorkingPapers/2013/PGDA_WP_110.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Olaniyan, Olanrewaju & Olasehinde, Noah & Odufuwa, Oyeteju & Awodumi, Olabanji, 2021. "The nature and extent of demographic dividend in West Africa: National transfer account approach," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).
    2. González Alejandro López & González-González María Jesús, 2018. "Third demographic transition and demographic dividend: An application based on panel data analysis," Bulletin of Geography. Socio-economic Series, Sciendo, vol. 42(42), pages 59-82, December.
    3. Stéphane Mbiankeu Nguea, 2024. "Does Demographic Dividend Enhance Economic Complexity: the Mediating Effect of Human Capital, ICT, and Foreign Direct Investment," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 15(4), pages 19678-19699, December.
    4. Ademola Obafemi Young, 2019. "Economic Growth and Demographic Dividend Nexus in Nigeria: A Vector Autoregressive (VAR) Approach," Asian Social Science, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 15(2), pages 1-37, February.
    5. Munir Ahmad & Rana Ejaz Ali Khan, 2019. "Does Demographic Transition with Human Capital Dynamics Matter for Economic Growth? A Dynamic Panel Data Approach to GMM," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 142(2), pages 753-772, April.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • O55 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Africa

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