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Least Squares Predictions and Mean-Variance Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Sentana, E.

Abstract

In an economy with one riskless and one risky asset, we compare the Sharpe ratios of investment funds that allow: i) timing strategies which forecast the market using simple regressions; ii) a strategy which uses multiple regression instead; and iii) a passive allocation which combines the funds in i) with constant weightings.

Suggested Citation

  • Sentana, E., 1997. "Least Squares Predictions and Mean-Variance Analysis," Papers 9711, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Y Financieros-.
  • Handle: RePEc:fth:cemfdt:9711
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    Cited by:

    1. Dante Amengual & Gabriele Fiorentini & Enrique Sentana, 2023. "PML versus minimum $${\chi }^{2}$$ χ 2 : the comeback," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 14(3), pages 253-300, December.
    2. Patton, Andrew J. & Timmermann, Allan, 2007. "Properties of optimal forecasts under asymmetric loss and nonlinearity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 140(2), pages 884-918, October.
    3. Xavier Gerard & Ron Guido & Peter Wesselius, 2013. "Integrated alpha modelling," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 14(3), pages 140-161, June.
    4. Enrique Sentana, 2009. "The econometrics of mean-variance efficiency tests: a survey," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 12(3), pages 65-101, November.
    5. John Y. Campbell & Samuel B. Thompson, 2008. "Predicting Excess Stock Returns Out of Sample: Can Anything Beat the Historical Average?," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(4), pages 1509-1531, July.
    6. Penaranda, Francisco, 2007. "Portfolio choice beyond the traditional approach," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 24481, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    7. Davide Pettenuzzo & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2016. "Optimal Portfolio Choice Under Decision‐Based Model Combinations," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(7), pages 1312-1332, November.
    8. Peñaranda, Francisco & Sentana, Enrique, 2012. "Spanning tests in return and stochastic discount factor mean–variance frontiers: A unifying approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 170(2), pages 303-324.
    9. Dante Amengual & Gabriele Fiorentini & Enrique Sentana, 2022. "PML vs minimum χ 2 : the comeback," Working Papers wp2022_2210, CEMFI.
    10. Timmermann, Allan & Patton, Andrew, 2003. "Properties of Optimal Forecasts," CEPR Discussion Papers 4037, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    11. René Garcia & Éric Renault & Georges Tsafack, 2007. "Proper Conditioning for Coherent VaR in Portfolio Management," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 53(3), pages 483-494, March.
    12. Penaranda, Francisco & Sentana, Enrique, 2024. "Portfolio management with big data," CEPR Discussion Papers 19314, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation

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