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External Debt and Economic Growth in Sub-SAharan African Countries: an Econometric Study

Author

Listed:
  • Iyoha, M.A.

Abstract

This econometric study takes a simulation approach to investigate the impact of external debt on economic growth in sub-Saharan African countries using a small macroeconomic model estimated for 1970-1994. An important finding was the significance of debt overhang variables in the investment equation, suggesting that mounting external debt depresses investment through both a "disincentive" effect and a "crowding out" effect.

Suggested Citation

  • Iyoha, M.A., 1999. "External Debt and Economic Growth in Sub-SAharan African Countries: an Econometric Study," Papers 90, African Economic Research Consortium.
    • Handle: RePEc:fth:afrirc:90
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Fisayo Fagbemi & Olufemi Solomon Olatunde, 2019. "Domestic Investment in Africa: Why the Emerging Public Debt Spiral Matters?," The Review of Finance and Banking, Academia de Studii Economice din Bucuresti, Romania / Facultatea de Finante, Asigurari, Banci si Burse de Valori / Catedra de Finante, vol. 11(2), pages 91-101, December.
    2. N. Mhlaba & A. Phiri, 2019. "Is public debt harmful towards economic growth? New evidence from South Africa," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(1), pages 1603653-160, January.
    3. Theshne Kisten, 2023. "Macro-financial implications of public debt in South Africa: The role of financial regimes," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2023-76, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    4. Muhammad Cholifihani, 2008. "A Cointegration Analysis Of Public Debt Service And Gdp In Indonesia," IBT Journal of Business Studies (JBS), Ilma University, Faculty of Management Science, vol. 4(2), pages 4-1.
    5. Swastika, Purti & Dewandaru, Ginanjar & Masih, Mansur, 2013. "The Impact of Debt on Economic Growth: A Case Study of Indonesia," MPRA Paper 58837, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Muhammad Cholifihani, 2008. "A Cointegration Analysis Of Public Debt Service And Gdp In Indonesia," IBT Journal of Business Studies (JBS), Ilma University, Faculty of Management Science, vol. 4(2), pages 68-81.
    7. repec:dau:papers:123456789/4089 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Olalekan Emmanuel Obademi & Olawale. O. Okubanjo, 2013. "External Debt and Nigeria’s Economic Growth Nexus, Matters Arising," International Journal of Financial Economics, Research Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 1(2), pages 61-66.
    9. Fisayo Fagbemi & Opeoluwa A. Adeosun, 2020. "Public Debt-Investment Nexus: the Significance of Investment-Generation Policy in West Africa," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute. 20/083, African Governance and Development Institute..
    10. José Augusto Lopes da Veiga & Alexandra Ferreira-Lopes & Tiago Neves Sequeira, 2016. "Public Debt, Economic Growth and Inflation in African Economies," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 84(2), pages 294-322, June.
    11. repec:eco:journ1:2014-02-19 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Bernardin Senadza & Agbemavor Korsi Fiagbe & Peter Quartey, 2017. "The Effect of External Debt on Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Democritus University of Thrace (DUTH), Kavala Campus, Greece, vol. 11(1), pages 61-69, December.
    13. Olugbenga Onafowora & Oluwole Owoye, 2019. "Impact of external debt shocks on economic growth in Nigeria: a SVAR analysis," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 52(2), pages 157-179, May.
    14. AL-Adayleh, Radi & AL-amro, Hassan & AL-Gralleh, Huthaifa, 2014. "هيكل الدين العام في الأردن وتأثيره على النمو الاقتصادي (1980 - 2012) [The structure of public debt in Jordan and its impact on economic growth (1980-2012)]," MPRA Paper 56271, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Mengist, Nitsuh, 2021. "Debt Sustainability and Economic Growth: Evidence from Low Income Sub-Saharan African Countries," Ethiopian Journal of Economics, Ethiopian Economics Association, vol. 30(01), April.
    16. Fuhmei Wang, 2009. "The effects of foreign borrowing policies on economic growth: success or failure?," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 12(4), pages 273-284.
    17. Siti Daud & Jan Podivinsky, 2011. "Debt–Growth Nexus: A Spatial Econometrics Approach for Developing Countries," Transition Studies Review, Springer;Central Eastern European University Network (CEEUN), vol. 18(1), pages 1-15, September.
    18. Abdullahi D. Ahmed, 2012. "Debt Burden, Military Spending And Growth In Sub-Saharan Africa: A Dynamic Panel Data Analysis," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(5), pages 485-506, October.
    19. O. Kalu Emenike, 2015. "Response of Foreign Private Investment to Public Debt in Nigeria," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 18(56), pages 65-86, June,.
    20. Manamba EPAPHRA & William MESIET, 2021. "The external debt burden and economic growth in Africa: a panel data analysis," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(2(627), S), pages 175-206, Summer.
    21. Adamu Jibir & Salihu Abdullahi & Musa Abdu & Abdullahi Buba & Bello Ibrahim, 2018. "External Debt-Growth Nexus in Nigeria Revisited," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 8(1), pages 117-130, January.
    22. Thobeka Ncanywa & Marius Mamokgaetji Masoga, 2018. "Can public debt stimulate public investment and economic growth in South Africa?," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(1), pages 1516483-151, January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ECONOMETRICS ; ECONOMIC GROWTH ; DEBT ; AFRICA;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O55 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Africa
    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems

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