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China and the future global food situation


  • Huang, Jikun
  • Rozelle, Scott
  • Rosegrant, Mark W.


The future of China's grain economy has been the subject of much debate. Some observers predict rapidly increasing grain imports that will strain the world's productive capacity. Most of China's own economists disagree: researchers in the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences have long predicted and still believe the nation will remain at least self-sufficient. Whatever course China's grain economy takes, the stakes are high for China's own development and for the stability and health of the world's agricultural trade. This brief examines alternatives for China's grain production, consumption, and net trade, taking into account underlying structural factors.

Suggested Citation

  • Huang, Jikun & Rozelle, Scott & Rosegrant, Mark W., 1995. "China and the future global food situation," 2020 vision briefs 20, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
  • Handle: RePEc:fpr:2020br:20

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    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Adam Zhuo & Huffman, Wallace E. & Rozelle, Scott, 2003. "Technical Efficiency Of Chinese Grain Production: A Stochastic Production Frontier Approach," 2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada 22116, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    2. Feng Lu, 1998. "Grain versus food: A hidden issue in China's food policy debate," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 26(9), pages 1641-1652, September.

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    Grain China. ; Grain Economic aspects. ;


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