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The impact of macroeconomic announcements on real time foreign exchange rates in emerging markets

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Listed:
  • Fang Cai
  • Hyunsoo Joo
  • Zhiwei Zhang

Abstract

This paper utilizes a unique high-frequency database to measure how exchange rates in nine emerging markets react to macroeconomic news in the U.S. and domestic economies from 2000 to 2006. We find that major U.S. macroeconomic news have a strong impact on the returns and volatilities of emerging market exchange rates, but many domestic news do not. Emerging market currencies have become more sensitive to U.S. news in recent years. We also find that market sentiment could sway the impact of news on these currencies systematically, as good (bad) news seems to matter more when optimism (pessimism) prevails. Market uncertainty also interacts with macroeconomic news in a statistically significant way, but its role varies across currencies and news.

Suggested Citation

  • Fang Cai & Hyunsoo Joo & Zhiwei Zhang, 2009. "The impact of macroeconomic announcements on real time foreign exchange rates in emerging markets," International Finance Discussion Papers 973, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedgif:973
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    Cited by:

    1. repec:bla:sajeco:v:85:y:2017:i:3:p:405-429 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Égert, Balázs & Kočenda, Evžen, 2014. "The impact of macro news and central bank communication on emerging European forex markets," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 73-88.
    3. Nowak, Sylwia & Andritzky, Jochen & Jobst, Andreas & Tamirisa, Natalia, 2011. "Macroeconomic fundamentals, price discovery, and volatility dynamics in emerging bond markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(10), pages 2584-2597, October.

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    Keywords

    Foreign exchange rates ; Developing countries;

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