Does Cascade Behavior Reflect Bayesian Updating? –An Experimental Study--
We examine the explanatory power of cascade models by implementing the BDM-mechanism in a simple cascade experiment in which subject have to decide on the prediction of a randomly chosen urn. Assigned price limits to participate in the prediction game are used as indicators of subjective probabilities. We are thus able to test the explanatory power of the standard BHW model (Bickchandani, Hirshleifer and Welch, 1992) in comparison to cascade models which incorporate individual decision errors. Focusing on stated price limits corresponding to urn predictions in line with both, standard and error BHW models our data indicate that the inclusion of errors does not significantly improve the explanatory power of the standard approach.
|Date of creation:|
|Date of revision:|
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: |
Phone: +49-3641-68 65
Fax: +49-3641-68 69 90
Web page: http://www.econ.mpg.de/
More information through EDIRC
|Order Information:|| Web: http://www.econ.mpg.de/english/research/ESI/discuss.php Email: |
References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Anderson, Lisa R. & Holt, Charles A., 2008. "Information Cascade Experiments," Handbook of Experimental Economics Results, Elsevier.
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:esi:discus:2003-01. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Karin Richter)
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.