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Measuring Recovery: Why the Prime-Age EPOP Ratio Tells Us to Not Raise Interest Rates

Author

Listed:
  • Nicholas Buffie

Abstract

Working people between the ages 25 to 54 are typically referred to as “prime-age” workers, meaning that most are old enough to be done with school but are too young to be retired. This is the period in people’s lives when they are most likely to be employed. By examining the employment-to-population (EPOP) ratio for prime-age Americans, we can eliminate the problems posed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ (BLS) definition of “unemployment” and the changing age distribution of the population.

Suggested Citation

  • Nicholas Buffie, 2015. "Measuring Recovery: Why the Prime-Age EPOP Ratio Tells Us to Not Raise Interest Rates," CEPR Reports and Issue Briefs 2015-15, Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR).
  • Handle: RePEc:epo:papers:2015-15
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    File URL: http://www.cepr.net/documents/measuring-recovery-prime-age-epops-2015.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    recovery; recession; EPOP; employment-to-population; ratio; prime-age; race; ethnicity; sex;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
    • J - Labor and Demographic Economics
    • J0 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - General
    • J2 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor
    • J15 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of Minorities, Races, Indigenous Peoples, and Immigrants; Non-labor Discrimination
    • J16 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of Gender; Non-labor Discrimination
    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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