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Yes, Wall Street, There Is a January Effect! Evidence from Laboratory Auctions

Author

Listed:
  • Lisa R. Anderson

    (Department of Economics, College of William and Mary)

  • Jeffrey R. Gerlach

    (Department of Economics, College of William and Mary)

  • Francis J. DiTraglia

    (Department of Economics, College of William and Mary)

Abstract

In the first experimental test of the January effect, we find an economically large and statistically significant result in two very different auction environments. After controlling for variables that could influence subjectsÕ bids such as differences in private values, cumulative earnings, and learning effects, the prices in the January markets were systematically higher than those in December. The results suggest that psychological factors may contribute to the well-documented January effect in empirical stock market data, a conclusion that clearly violates the efficient markets hypothesis.

Suggested Citation

  • Lisa R. Anderson & Jeffrey R. Gerlach & Francis J. DiTraglia, 2005. "Yes, Wall Street, There Is a January Effect! Evidence from Laboratory Auctions," Working Papers 15, Department of Economics, College of William and Mary.
  • Handle: RePEc:cwm:wpaper:15
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    File URL: http://economics.wm.edu/wp/cwm_wp15.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Easterday, Kathryn E. & Sen, Pradyot K. & Stephan, Jens A., 2009. "The persistence of the small firm/January effect: Is it consistent with investors' learning and arbitrage efforts?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(3), pages 1172-1193, August.
    2. Françoise LE QUERE, 2008. "L'habillage de portefeuille par les gérants de fonds dans la littérature : incitations, effets et risques," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 870, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
    3. Danny Yeung, 2012. "The Impact of Institutional Ownership: A Study of the Australian Equity Market," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 2-2012.
    4. Carlos Francisco Alves & Duarte André de Castro Reis, 2018. "Evidence of Idiosyncratic Seasonality in ETFs Performance," FEP Working Papers 603, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
    5. Françoise Le Quéré, 2010. "L’habillage de portefeuille par les gérants de fonds dans la littérature : incitations, effets et risques," Revue d'Économie Financière, Programme National Persée, vol. 97(2), pages 275-293.
    6. Sulaiman Mouselli & Hazem Al-Samman, 2016. "An Examination of the Month-of-the-year Effect at Damascus Securities Exchange," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(2), pages 573-577.
    7. Priit Sander & Risto Veiderpass, 2012. "Testing the Turn-of-the-Year Effect on Baltic Stock Exchanges," The Review of Finance and Banking, Academia de Studii Economice din Bucuresti, Romania / Facultatea de Finante, Asigurari, Banci si Burse de Valori / Catedra de Finante, vol. 5(2), pages 145-154, December.

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