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Procrustean Econometrics: Stretching and Squeezing Data

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  • Hendry, David F
  • Mizon, Grayham Ernest

Abstract

Recent concern about the inadequacies of econometric models has led not only to the search for causes, but also to the proposal of constructive remedies for these difficulties. In this paper we analyse the links between econometric modelling methodologies and the performance of econometric models. We comment on a number of the constructive modelling strategies that have been proposed, and emphasise the importance of evaluating models, especially by checking whether they are congruent with the available information. This process of model evaluation is destructive rather than constructive, and the criteria it employs form a set of necessary, not sufficient, conditions for model adequacy.

Suggested Citation

  • Hendry, David F & Mizon, Grayham Ernest, 1985. "Procrustean Econometrics: Stretching and Squeezing Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 68, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:68
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Rubinstein, Ariel, 1982. "Perfect Equilibrium in a Bargaining Model," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(1), pages 97-109, January.
    2. Michael Waldman, 1984. "Worker Allocation, Hierarchies and the Wage Distribution," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 51(1), pages 95-109.
    3. Sherwin Rosen, 1982. "Authority, Control, and the Distribution of Earnings," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 13(2), pages 311-323, Autumn.
    4. Kenneth J. Arrow, 1975. "Vertical Integration and Communication," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 6(1), pages 173-183, Spring.
    5. Williamson, Oliver E, 1983. "Credible Commitments: Using Hostages to Support Exchange," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 73(4), pages 519-540, September.
    6. Michael Keren & David Levhari, 1983. "The Internal Organization of the Firm and the Shape of Average Costs," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 14(2), pages 474-486, Autumn.
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    Cited by:

    1. Kevin D. Hoover & Stephen J. Perez, 1999. "Data mining reconsidered: encompassing and the general-to-specific approach to specification search," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 2(2), pages 167-191.
    2. Adam Fforde, 2005. "Persuasion: Reflections on economics, data, and the 'homogeneity assumption'," Journal of Economic Methodology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(1), pages 63-91.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Econometric Models; Model Evaluation;

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