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The Persistence of Capital Inflows and the Behaviour of Stock Prices in East Asia Emerging Markets: Some Empirical Evidence

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  • Sarno, Lucio
  • Taylor, Mark P

Abstract

We examine the view that the recent East Asian crisis was precipitated by bursting asset price bubbles which had been fuelled by strong capital inflows which were largely the result of a moral hazard problem in financial intermediation, and was exacerbated by a vicious cycle of asset price deflation and incipient and actual capital flight. We find evidence of stock market bubbles in all East Asian economies examined, although not in Australia. We examine various categories of capital flows to these countries and find, in particular, relatively high reversible components in portfolio flows to East Asian economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Sarno, Lucio & Taylor, Mark P, 1999. "The Persistence of Capital Inflows and the Behaviour of Stock Prices in East Asia Emerging Markets: Some Empirical Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 2150, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:2150
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Eswar S. Prasad & Kenneth Rogoff & Shang-Jin Wei & M. Ayhan Kose, 2007. "Financial Globalization, Growth and Volatility in Developing Countries," NBER Chapters,in: Globalization and Poverty, pages 457-516 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Nunes, Maurício Simiano & da Silva, Sérgio, 2009. "Bolhas Racionais no Índice Bovespa," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, FGV/EPGE - Escola Brasileira de Economia e Finanças, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil), vol. 63(2), June.
    3. Dong, Baomin & Gu, Xinhua & Song, Huasheng, 2017. "Capital market liberalization: Optimal tradeoff and bargaining delay," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 78-88.
    4. L. Sarno & M. P. Taylor, 2003. "An empirical investigation of asset price bubbles in Latin American emerging financial markets," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(9), pages 635-643.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asset Market Bubbles; Capital Flows; East Asian crisis; Emerging Markets;

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F20 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - General
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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