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The Distribution of Crisis Credit: Effects on Firm Indebtedness and Aggregate Risk

Author

Listed:
  • Huneeus, Federico
  • Kaboski, Joseph
  • Larrain, Mauricio
  • Schmukler, Sergio L.
  • Vera, Mario

Abstract

We study the distribution of credit during crisis times and its impact on firm indebtedness and macroeconomic risk. We analyze a public credit guarantee program in Chile during the COVID-19 pandemic using unique transaction-level data of demand and supply of credit, matched with tax data, for the universe of banks and firms. Credit demand channels loans toward riskier firms, distributing 4.6% of GDP and increasing firm leverage. Despite increased lending to riskier firms at the micro level, macroeconomic risks remain small because of several mitigating factors. We confirm our empirical findings with a model of heterogeneous firms and endogenous default.

Suggested Citation

  • Huneeus, Federico & Kaboski, Joseph & Larrain, Mauricio & Schmukler, Sergio L. & Vera, Mario, 2022. "The Distribution of Crisis Credit: Effects on Firm Indebtedness and Aggregate Risk," CEPR Discussion Papers 17061, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:17061
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    Cited by:

    1. is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Akcigit, Ufuk & Seven, Ünal & Yarba, İbrahim & Yılmaz, Fatih, 2024. "Firm-level impact of public credit guarantees," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    3. Camilo Gómez & Daniela Rodríguez-Novoa, 2024. "Firm Support Measures, Credit Payment Behavior, and Credit Risk," Borradores de Economia 1277, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    4. Léon, Florian, 2023. "Public bank lending in Africa in times of crisis," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    5. Giuseppe Cascarino & Raffaele Gallo & Francesco Palazzo & Enrico Sette, 2022. "Public guarantees and credit additionality during the Covid-19 pandemic," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1369, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    6. Jorge Fernández B. & Francisco Vásquez L., 2024. "Financiamiento de corto plazo de las empresas chilenas," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 1032, Central Bank of Chile.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • G33 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Bankruptcy; Liquidation
    • G38 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health

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