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Chinese vs. US trade in an emerging country. The impact of trade openness in Chile

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  • Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés
  • Sotiriou, Alexandra

Abstract

This paper explores the effects of import competition on the manufacturing sector in Chile following the implementation of the country’s two largest Free Trade Agreements (FTA) (with the USA and China). Exploiting cross-industry variation in import exposure, we analyse the effects on manufacturing sales, employment and labour productivity at the finest level of industrial classification (4 digit ISIC level). We detect an overall negative effect of increased Chinese import penetration, owing to substitution effects from low and medium tech imports and a less pronounced effect from USA imports. By introducing interaction effects, we find that the levels of foreign ownership and the export intensity of the domestic industries reverse the negative effect due to the opportunities offered via participation in global value chains. An IV strategy is applied to address standard endogeneity concerns and confirm the robustness of our estimates.

Suggested Citation

  • Rodríguez-Pose, Andrés & Sotiriou, Alexandra, 2021. "Chinese vs. US trade in an emerging country. The impact of trade openness in Chile," CEPR Discussion Papers 16297, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:16297
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    Cited by:

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    2. Torreggiani, Sofia & Andreoni, Antonio, 2023. "Rising to the challenge or perish? Chinese import penetration and its impact on growth dynamics of manufacturing firms in South Africa," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 199-212.
    3. Contreras-Reyes, Javier E. & Jeldes-Delgado, Fabiola & Carrasco, Raúl, 2024. "Jensen-Detrended Cross-Correlation function for non-stationary time series with application to Latin American stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 654(C).

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F16 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Labor Market Interactions

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