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Efectos de las Intervenciones en el Mercado Cambiario: El Caso de Chile

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  • Matías Tapia
  • Andrea Tokman

Abstract

Using daily data on intervention activities by the Central Bank of Chile between 1998 and 2003, this paper studies the impact of these actions on the peso/dollar exchange rate. First, results are obtained from an event study, finding no evidence of a significant effect of interventions on the level and trend of the exchange rate. However, these findings could be biased due to the omission of relevant control variables and the simultaneity between interventions and the exchange rate. Time series estimates are used to deal with these potential problems. Statistical evidence of weak exogeneity between intervention and exchange rate shows that the potential endogeneity problem is not relevant given the purpose of the paper. OLS estimations suggest that the effect of daily interventions are not statistically different from zero in 2001, but that the public announcements of the beginning of an intervention period did have an effect in the level and trend of the exchange rate in that year, as well as in 2002-2003. The announcement effect is nil in 1998, as interventions were carried out with less transparency. The results are robust to alternative specifications and instrumental variable estimations.

Suggested Citation

  • Matías Tapia & Andrea Tokman, 2003. "Efectos de las Intervenciones en el Mercado Cambiario: El Caso de Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 206, Central Bank of Chile.
  • Handle: RePEc:chb:bcchwp:206
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    Cited by:

    1. Luis Felipe Lagos & Rodrigo Cerda, 2006. "Tipo de Cambio Nominal en un Régimen de Flotación: Chile 2000-2005," Documentos de Trabajo 313, Instituto de Economia. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile..
    2. Claudio Soto G. & Alberto Naudon D. & Eduardo López E. & Álvaro Aguirre R., 2004. "About International Reserve Adequacy: The Case of Chile," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 7(3), pages 5-34, December.
    3. Roberto Steiner & Adolfo Barajas & César Pabón & Leonardo Villar, 2014. "Singular Focus or Multiple Objectives? What the Data Tell Us about Inflation Targeting in Latin America," ECONOMIA JOURNAL, THE LATIN AMERICAN AND CARIBBEAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION - LACEA, vol. 0(Fall 2014), pages 177-213, June.
    4. Matías Tapia & Andrea Tokman, 2004. "Effects of Foreign Exchange Intervention under Public Information: The Chilean Case," ECONOMIA JOURNAL, THE LATIN AMERICAN AND CARIBBEAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION - LACEA, vol. 0(Spring 20), pages 215-256, January.
    5. Fernando Morra, 2014. "Moderando Inflaciones Moderadas," Department of Economics, Working Papers 106, Departamento de Economía, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Universidad Nacional de La Plata.
    6. Claudio Soto & Alberto Naudon & Eduardo López & Alvaro Aguirre, 2004. "Acerca del Nivel Adecuado de las Reservas Internacionales," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 267, Central Bank of Chile.
    7. Adolfo Barajas & Roberto Steiner & Leonardo Villar & Cesar Pabon, 2014. "Inflation Targeting in Latin America," Research Department Publications IDB-WP-473, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
    8. Miranda, Jorge, 2012. "Tipo de Cambio Real en Chile: Dinámica, Tendencia y Equilibrio
      [Real Exchange Rate in Chile: Dynamics, Trend and Equilibrium]
      ," MPRA Paper 43076, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E65 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Studies of Particular Policy Episodes
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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